Newsletter – September 2025

A person standing at a podium

Description automatically generated

The Payment Business

Worldline’s half-year results disappointed investors as its core merchant services division once again underperformed the broader European market. Net revenue in the division fell 7%, while EBITDA dropped 19%, prompting a colossal €4.1 billion impairment, a remarkable figure considering Worldline’s current market cap is just under €1 billion.

chart, line chart

The bad news kept coming. Worldline took an additional €142 million write-down on its minority stake in Ingenico, S&P has downgraded its bonds and the Financial Times raises questions about whether the parent company has ready access to cash held in subsidiaries.

The sales slump in merchant services is blamed on a tough SMB environment, particularly in Germany and the Benelux, where Worldline is struggling against the “Tap Pack” of SumUpViva.commyPOSFlatpay as well as ISV’s offering payments bundled with their retail or restaurant software.

Still, there are some glimmers of hope. External auditors brought in following the “Dirty Payments” scandal reported no further issues. Worldline has successfully offloaded its mobility and e-ticketing unit for €410m, and there are signs of life in markets like Australia, Italy, and Greece. The company also reports solid progress in platform consolidation and has re-entered the UK acquiring market. Worldline’s new management team remains upbeat, targeting a return to growth in 2026, though that promise may sound familiar.


Adyen’s H1 results were quite a contrast. Worldwide revenues grew 20% while EBITDA margins remained above 50%. Very few companies can boast such strong financial results but the stock price fell 18% as the Amsterdam-based acquirer reduced H2 guidance citing the impact of Trump’s tariffs on its Asia-Pacific clients selling goods to the USA. This is thought relate to Shein and Temu suffering from the imposition of customs duties on small packages.S

A graph of a number of countries/regions

AI-generated content may be incorrect.

Despite years of effort and tens of millions of dollars in incentive payments to PSP’s, Discover’s global acceptance network had made little progress in attracting volume. Capital One, Discover’s new owner, is now looking to create a rival to American Express. The CEO said “there are only 2 banks in the world with their own network, and we are one of them. We are moving to capitalize on this rare and valuable opportunity. We need to achieve greater international acceptance and then build a global network brand.”

Dojo has established itself as arguably the UK’s leading SME payments provider but 2024/25 results show growth is slowing – revenue up just 11% and merchant numbers flat. Successful launches in Italy and Spain are critical to the future of the group because, despite a new $190m equity injection, Dojo must run fast to escape the interest payments on its £649 million debt mountain. Read more on the Business of Payments blog.

A graph with numbers and a line

AI-generated content may be incorrect.

Today’s CEO normally boasts about using AI to cut staff numbers but FlatPay, the fast growing Danish-HQ’d PF, is delighted to have reached 1000 employees. The hiring spree is linked to new market entry into France and Italy where it is signing 2,400 merchants a month and expects to capture 3% share within 12 months.

The German Sparkasse are some of the few incumbent banks making a success of payments today. Revenue at S-Payment – which provides merchant services to the 353 member banks – was up 17% in 2024, the terminal estate grew 5% and girocard transactions increased 12% – well ahead of the market. Read more on the Business of Payments blog.

Bar chart showing S-payment sales revenue (€m) from 2022 to 2024, with increasing values in each year.

Secupay is another German payment business producing good numbers. Based in Dresden, Secupay is the country’s largest remaining independent PSP and processes c.€2bn annually from over 300,000 merchants. 2024 sales almost doubled to €19m. Secupay has recently secured full scheme membership and has built an acquiring capability using Silverflow software.

Deutsche Bank also uses Silverflow and has won its first large customer – Bolt – since relaunching its own merchant acquiring proposition.


Global Payments stock price improved after management reassured investors on the near-term outlook which included Q2 results showing European revenues up 6%, flattered by the weaker dollar.

chart, line chart

Global is performing best in central Europe. NBG Pay, the joint-venture with National Bank of Greece inherited from the acquisition of EVO Payments, processed €14bn of in 2024, grew net revenues 25% to €40m and reported a maiden operating profit. Global has entered Croatia with the acquisition of the acquiring unit of Erste Card Club,through its existing Vienna-based JV with Erste Bank.

Although Global has reported positive progress with regulatory matters in the US relating to the acquisition of Worldpay, it’s not commented on the situation in the UK where the combined business will probably have a >40% share of the acquiring market. Competition authorities in London have not yet decided whether to mount a full investigation.


In a busy month for payments-related fundraising, here are some highlights:

  • Bumper, based in Sheffield in the UK, secured an additional £8m from the venture arms of Jaguar Land Rover, Suzuki, Porsche and others to expand its car repair software and payments platform to new European markets including Germany, Ireland, Netherlands and Spain. Bumper bought Cocoon Payments, an open banking specialist earlier this year.
  • Appcharge, a Tel Aviv based merchant-of-record specialising in helping mobile games publishers take money directly from consumers (avoiding app store charges) has raised $58m, bringing total financing to $89m. Appcharge claims $500m annual payment volume and growing quickly.
  • Reckon.ai, from Porto, has raised a further €5.1m (total of €8.5m) to grow its business selling autonomous smart cabinets – best thought of as walk-in vending machines where shoppers pay via an app or by tapping a payment card before entering.
  • Handwave, based in Latvia has raised $4.2m for its biometric payment products – hardware and software. You first must link your card credential to your palm print and then you can pay by putting your hand on a special reader. Palm payments make sense for saunas and swimming pools but, otherwise may be a solution looking for a problem.
  • MyPinPad, the Cardiff-based SoftPOS vendor, has raised a further £4.6m.
  • Papercut, based in Sofia and led by ex-SumUp execs, has raised €2m for its BNPL aggregation service for SMEs. Embed is providing the payment infrastructure and money movement.

Turning to corporate activity, Payroc, a highly acquisitive US acquirer/processor, has bought Bluesnap, an online PSP and payment gateway based in Dublin and Boston. Payroc processes $115bn from 190,000 merchants and the deal gives it significant reach into Europe for the first time.

PayRetailers, a Barcelona-based PSP specialising in cross-border sales into Latin America, has acquired Celeris, an Amsterdam-based payment orchestrator. The deal should help PayRetailers improve authorisation rates.

Finally, Nexi has retained its partnership deal with Crédit Agricole in Italy, despite the bank’s French parent having bought a 7% stake in Worldline in 2024. This will come as a relief to Nexi’s management as it has been under pressure from Worldline for bank partnership in Italy. The Crédit Agricole deals covers processing for 100,000 POS terminals and 3m payment cards.

Scheming

Q2 2025 was another storming quarter for the schemes in Europe. Combined Visa and Mastercard payment volume rose 18% although the headline figure was flattered by the weak dollar. But 12% in Euro terms is still very impressive and reflects 10% growth in transactions and 2% uplift in ATV.

chart, line chart

Mastercard and Visa have been neck and neck for a while but in Q2 Mastercard processed (marginally) more volume in Europe than Visa for the first time. This will be cause for a small celebration in Waterloo although Visa still managed a slightly higher number of transactions.

Cross‑border volumes remain robust for both networks; despite Adyen’s issues, neither reports geopolitics hurting demand with Visa’s CEO saying: “We see no meaningful impact from tariffs.”


Europe’s reliance on Visa/Mastercard – 13 of 20 eurozone countries use them for most POS payments – is spurring work on the digital euro (see below) and the European Payment Initiative’s wero wallet.

In Germany, the savings banks, which have integrated wero into the Sparkasse app, now claim 1m active users. For now, wero only works for P2P payments but eCommerce is coming later this year and merchants will certainly like the pricing. S-Payment is proposing 0.77% + gateway charges: rather cheaper than cards or PayPal. And, unlike open banking payments, wero comes with a payment guarantee.

chart, bar chart

Launching any new payment method is difficult but consumer awareness of wero has grown from 12% to 30% in Germany over the last 12 months thanks to some sustained marketing such as this determined effort to have wero adopted at flea markets.

Wero is also live in France although pitched as something rather cooler and cosmopolitan.

Turning to domestic schemes: Poland’s Blik, which has Mastercard as a key shareholder, posted standout 2024 results with revenue up 93% to €98m (~€0.06/tx) and profit at €48m.

A graph of a company

AI-generated content may be incorrect.

Growth continued in H1 2025: total transactions were up 24% including almost €2bn of POS volume, managed through a virtual Mastercard which also allows Poles to use Blik at terminals abroad. Feel the chemistry as Mme Curie buys supplies in Paris.

Customers of Caixa Bank, BBVA and Santander can use Bizum, the fast-growing Spanish mobile payment wallet at POS for the first time. In contrast to Blik, the Bizum user experience is clunky – shoppers need to type their phone number into terminal to be sent a payment link.

Brazil’s Pix mobile wallet has attracted global attention for its stratospheric growth but seems to be taking share from cash, not cards. Since Pix launched in 2020, card transactions have been growing faster than ever – an annual growth rate of 20% compared to 14% in the previous years. Despite this, Donald Trump has launched an investigation into Brazil’s unfair trade practices including Pix which he says discriminates against Visa and Mastercard. Brazil’s President responded: “PIX is Brazil’s. We will not accept attacks on PIX, which is the patrimony of our people.”

ISV

The shift in payments distribution from banks to software vendors (ISVs) is one the biggest disruptions in the industry and is delivering big numbers to processors that have invested in building the right relationships.

Shopify, which provides websites for over 5m merchants worldwide, has aggressively shifted volume from 3rd party gateways (chosen by the merchant) to its in-house product – Shopify Payments. Processed via Stripe, Shopify Payments’ volume was up 38% in Q2 to $41bn and accounts for two-thirds of all sales made by Shopify merchants.

A graph of a bar chart

AI-generated content may be incorrect.

Stripe tends to be the partner of choice for eCommerce ISVs but Adyen’s platforms business is the go-to acquirer for vendors serving online and store-based channels. Latest results show Adyen’s payment volume from platforms up 80% to €27bn in H1 2025 from 255,000 terminals. 31 of its partners now process over €1bn each annually.

A graph with blue and orange bars

AI-generated content may be incorrect.

Adyen’s deployment capability in multiple countries and across channels is very attractive to retail software specialists that need a single solution for their multi-national clients. Sitoo from Sweden is a great example. From Sitoo’s perspective the key USP of partnering with Adyen is an increase in first-time help desk resolutions and reduction in time taken to troubleshoot faults. 

Other payment processors want a piece of the action. Worldpay is finally taking the European ISV market seriously with some strong marketing support for the launch of Worldpay for Platforms. The proposition is based on the acquisition of Payrix in 2022

Electronic Payments, has bought Handpoint the Iceland-based mPOS vendor. Handpoint, which claims 100 ISV partners, processes $2bn annually from 18,000 devices in Europe and the USA. Electronic Payments is known for giving generous commercial terms to its partners (URL = www.residuals.com) and could be a disruptive new entrant to many European markets.

New shopping

Agentic commerce has potential to transform online shopping; replacing the established online commerce journey which begins with a Google search and ends at a finely honed checkout page with a chat-based conversation between you and an agent that has delegated authority to spend money with your payment card.

In surveys, 50% of Americans are already using AI agents for shopping which is leading to a speedy reassessment of online retail. Anecdotal evidence suggests that small speciality retailers are seeing 20-40% drop in visits as AI prefers to funnel shoppers to large brands. Here’s a good round-up of what merchants are finding.

A16z, a top US venture capitalist, looks at the scenarios and concludes that Amazon and Shopify (which together account for 50% of US eCommerce sales) have strong enough differentiators to prosper in this coming shift. The retail giants want agents to play on their terms and interact based on published APIs. Both have blocked AI bots from crawling their extensive data.

Instead, Shopify has given each of its 5m merchants a “chatbot accessible storefront API”and launched Shopify Catalog which aggregates products across all Shopify merchants to enable AI agents to search, recommend and (in the near future) transact. Shopify claims 12.3% conversion on AI-assisted shopping compared to 3.1% the old-fashioned way.

The payment industry has begun to launch product. Worldpay has introduced a Know Your Agent (KYA) framework to help merchants determine whether an agent is good (working for a genuine shopper with funds to complete the purchase) or bad (working for a scammer). Trulioo, the global ID vendor, is behind the product and has a helpful white paper here.

Open banking

Industry commentators have focused on the positive aspects of the UK’s National Payment Vision, notably a commitment to form a new delivery company, create a payment guarantee and find a commercial model that rewards all market participants. These all may take some time. Meanwhile, investors worry whether the open banking industry – suffering from low volumes and lower margins – can remain solvent long enough to see the fruits of these endeavours.

One example is Ordo, a high profile open banking startup which featured in last year’s Fintech 40. Ordo was bought by Neonomics of Norway in 2023 but the new owners have given up on UK open banking and Ordo has ceased trading. Writing on LinkedIn, Neonomics CEO said VRP (the open banking equivalent to direct debit) had been too slow to arrive resulting in a UK market size of just c.30m transactions/month. This is not enough to sustain an industry.

Mollie, the very well-funded Dutch PSP, is reported to be close to acquiring GoCardless, the loss-making London-based direct debit specialist after Trustly declined the deal. If true, this indicates investor nervousness as Mollie would be unlikely to match the $2.1bn valuation attached to GoCardless 2022 funding round.

Thanks to partnerships with FIS and Visa, and backed by blue-chip investors including NAB, Citi and Rapyd, Banked – another high profile open banking start-up – will be well positioned if/when A2A merchant payments become mainstream. Meanwhile, 2024 accounts show that Banked generated just £700K revenue and will likely need yet more capital to supplement the £55m already raised.

chart, waterfall chart

On the positive side, it’s increasingly common to see open banking offered at checkout. Ryanair, working with TrueLayer, has started putting “pay by bank” first on its payment page as you can see below.

graphical user interface, application, email

Open banking’s current lack of consumer protection will aways be an issue in travel payments. Meagan Johnson gives an example of an A2A transaction for which neither Air France, Trustly or Monzo will take responsibility. Next time, she says she will use a card.

It’s clear that open banking needs “scheme rules” that give clear guidelines for managing disputes. Following two recent product launches, it’s increasingly likely these will be card scheme rules. Following the announcement of Visa Protect earlier this year, Mastercard has followed suit with A2A Protect. Early adopters include NatWest, Santander and Monzo in the UK.

Crypto corner

Plans for the digital euro are accelerating. Regulators already worried about European over-dependence on American payment schemes are now equally concerned about a possible tsunami of dollar denominated stablecoins arriving from the USA.

However, Central Bank Digital Currencies, like the digital euro, are a very different proposition to commercial stablecoins. CBDC’s are designed as cash-substitutes that bring direct benefits to citizens rather than as infrastructure-level plumbing to facilitate international trade. The European Central Bank hopes to have a political deal on the digital euro by early next year.

The commercial banks aren’t happy and paid PwC to write a study that put the cost of digital euro adoption at €30bn if the digital euro sucks deposits out of current accounts leading to banks making fewer loans.

The Bank of England, apparently unbothered about payment sovereignty, is said to be cooling on the digital pound.

Turning to crypto proper, Stripe has begun developing its own blockchain. Simon Taylor is very excited about this.

There are still few signs of crypto (stable or unstable) being used for retail payments. Undeterred, SpacePay, based in London, is raising $1.1m from the sale of its $SPY tokens, to promote crypto currency acceptance on its Android payment terminals. SpacePay says it charges just 0.5% and settles in fiat currency.

Coinbase, a platform that allows people to buy/sell crypto, is running adverts in the UK suggesting that investing gambling in crypto is the solution to inflation, stagnating wages, crumbling infrastructure and a withering welfare system. This won’t end well. 

In other news

Numia won the merchant acquiring business of Banco BPM from Nexi last year. One of the first deliverables is “100 kiosks in 100 churches” allowing the faithful to make contactless donations.

100 totem in 100 chiese”: il digitale entra nei luoghi di culto - Pagamenti  Digitali

German banks stopped €10bn of suspicious direct debits from PayPal following a failure in the US giant’s security systems.

Netherlands Railways has blocked virtual cards issued by Revolut, Paysafe and Vividfollowing discovery of a loophole that allowed passengers to travel for free. People would create a virtual card, take a trip, and then delete the card before the overnight settlement run.

Pedro Carvalho, sales director at Primer, which supplies payment infrastructure to large merchants, has spent the summer posting checkout crimes on LinkedIn. Here’s my favourite – the merchant asking shoppers to choose the processor. Why?

graphical user interface, text, application, email

It’s been a busy summer for payment outages. In Denmark, Nets went down and paralysed traffic at the Great Belt Bridge. In France, SocGen and La Banque Postale went down two days in a row with Crédit Mutuel and CIC also failing for two hoursone Saturday evening.

Shopify’s head of engineering gives advice on how to use AI. He says get your lawyers to default to “yes” and don’t skimp on letting your staff subscribe to the best tools. “If your engineers are spending $1,000 per month more because of LLMs and they are 10% more productive, that’s too cheap. Anyone would kill for a 10% increase in productivity for only $1,000 per month.”

Sam Altman says AI will kill KYC as we know it. Risk systems need to be “always on” to cope with the growing wave of deepfakes, spoofing and voice-cloning, he says.

The team behind PayEye, a high-profile facial recognition payment solution, are now in a legal dispute in Poland about who owns the intellectual property.

And finally

How does a Shift4 logo get on an Adyen terminal? An Adyen exec responds: “What you’re seeing is an odd choice of background image, which is fully customizable on any of our terminals.”

No alternative text description for this image

Photo credit: James Lloyd

Where to find me

I’ll be at the Checkout.com’s conference in Venice 7-9 October, at the ESPM meeting in London on 23 October, at the ePay Summit in London on 28 October and MPE in Berlin next March.

Banked losses narrow but still waiting for revenues to arrive

Banked, one of a number of loss-making London-based open banking payments companies, has published its accounts for the year to 31 December 2024. They show revenue beginning to arrive (albeit painfully slowly), a narrower (although still rather large) operating loss, and continuing dependence on external finance as the company pursues its global ambitions.

Bar chart illustrating the revenue and operating loss of Banked from 2022 to 2024, showing a gradual increase in revenue and a decrease in operating loss.

Revenues rose to £717k (2023: £53k) as Banked began to generate some income from its partnerships. The operating loss narrowed to £15.1m (2023: £23.5m) with employee costs cut to £11.4m (2023: £15.4m). Staff numbers fell from 117 to 86. Despite the layoffs, management stresses it has “retained its product and commercial presence across all key markets.”

2024 was, in the words of the directors, “a pivotal year in strengthening Banked’s role as a trusted, strategic partner to tier-one financial institutions.”

In the US, FIS selected Banked to provide Pay by Bank in sectors such as insurance, utilities and higher education.

In the UK, Visa announced Banked as a partner for its new Visa A2A service, intended to improve consumer protection and user experience for account-to-account payments. And in April 2025, Banked announced the acquisition of VibePay, the UK consumer payments app offering cashback and rewards. The deal, subject to FCA approval, will add a consumer-facing element to Banked’s platform and bring Candy Ventures and VibePay founder Luke Massie onto the board.

In Australia, Banked acquired Waave, a local Pay by Bank player, to broaden its technological and commercial footprint.

The company says investment in research and development remains a priority, with work continuing on “payment routing, authentication, settlement, [and] support” and exploration of “new technology models to drive sustainable product innovation.”

To date, Banked has raised around £55m from NAB, Citibank and Raypd amongst others including an additional £14m in 2024. Most of the capital has now been spent, underlining how dependent Banked remains on external finance while waiting for open banking payments to scale.

For now, Banked remains a company with modest revenues, heavy losses, and an expanding global footprint. The next test will be whether acquisitions such as Waave and VibePay, and partnerships with FIS and Visa, can deliver the volumes required to justify the continuing inflow of investor capital. 

Newsletter – July 2025

The payments business

Worldline’s management responded to last month’s fraud allegations concerning its German business by commissioning two independent reviews. One will assess the remaining high-risk portfolio “to confirm its clean-up,” while the other, led by Oliver Wyman, will deliver a “comprehensive assessment” of Worldline’s compliance and risk framework. Initial findings are expected within weeks.

Meanwhile, the bad news for Worldline continues. Belgian prosecutors have launched a money laundering probe, top shareholder SIX is reportedly facing a further $300m loss on its holdings and the ANZ Bank JV in Australia posted grim 2024 results.Worldline Australia made AUD 68m (€42m) operating loss on revenues down 33% to AUD 81m (€49m). The business now needs more capital.

Despite a plunging share price and market cap now under €1bn, analysts aren’t calling Worldline a buy. The bonds are trading at less than 90 cents to the dollar. Rebuilding investor trust will require time, stable results and no more nasty surprises.

A graph of a company report

AI-generated content may be incorrect.

GTCR, the private equity firm selling Worldpay to Global Payments, recently explained how it turned the business around in just 18 months, making $6bn in the process. “Worldpay had the potential to win. It had just lost a bit of its competitive spirit,” said GTCR’s CEO.

Not so fast. The deal has hit turbulence. Activist investor Elliott has taken a stake in Global Payments though its intentions remain unclear. Some speculate it may try to install a new board of directors. Meanwhile, UK competition authorities are circling, as the combined companies would control over 40% of the acquiring market.

GTCR might want to hold off booking that profit just yet.


JP Morgan paid $800m for 48.5% of Greek fintech Viva Wallet in 2022 and announced a 50-person “payments innovation lab” in Athens. But the deal quickly soured and is now tied up in litigation in both Athens and London. In the latest twist, both sides are claiming victory. Despite the uncertainty, Viva seems to be doing well in the marketplace and has started calling itself the First Fintech Bank in Europe

No alternative text description for this image

Figure 1 Photo credit Viva.com

Viva is part of a fast-growing group of well-funded, POS-focused European payment start-ups including SumUp, Flatpay, myPOS World and Dojo – some acquirers, some payment facilitators (PF). Let’s call them the Tap Pack.

Dojo, a London-based acquirer, just raised $190m and is growing rapidly in Spain. From offices in Barcelona and Madrid, it’s hiring 100 new sales consultants on a four-hour workday. Hasta mañana.

SumUp, the Anglo-German PF that reported €1bn revenue and a maiden operating profit in 2024, has postponed its IPO to 2026. Valued at €8bn in its last funding round, analysts doubt that figure will hold in today’s market.

SumUp has also agreed, at long last to support Girocard payments. The move responds to two issues: Mastercard’s phase out of Maestro, and the German savings banks’ launch of S-Cube, a SumUp rival with Girocard bundled in.

Flatpay says it will sign 5,000 new merchants this month, boosted by its French expansion which claims 40 staff and 1,000 merchants already. Pricing is very keen – a free PAX A920 and all transactions at just 1.29%. The Danish PF is entering the UK next with the radical innovation of recruiting an in-house sales team in place of the usual network of self-employed agents.

The Tap Pack have been gaining ground at the expense of incumbents like Worldline and Barclaycard. But they now face pressure from a new wave of capital-light, unregulated startups offering a slick user experience on Adyen’s rails. Examples include YetipayKody, and MyPOS Connect (not to be confused with MyPOS World).

London-based Yetipay just raised £3.5m in debt and equity for its hospitality payments platform. It claims to process £500m annually and generate £5m in revenue. The Adyen integration has enabled fast expansion into Spain and Italy. Here’s a photo of founder Oliver Pugh with what the press release questionably describes as a pink yeti.

No alternative text description for this image

Turning to SoftPOS, Rubean, listed on the Munich Stock Exchange, is finally seeing real growth. First-half 2025 revenues jumped to €2.54m, up from €0.84m a year earlier. Analysts expect full-year sales to double, and the stock has surged 35% to an all-time high of €8.75.

A graph showing a line

AI-generated content may be incorrect.

Rubean’s key selling points include Girocard support and integration with Redsys in Spain. Deichmann, the German shoe retailer, uses Rubean’s technology on Zebra handhelds into payment terminals. It’s a great example how SoftPOS can be transformational for enterprise retail.

In fundraising news:

  • Modern World Business Solutions (UK) raised £9m to scale from 60 to 200 staff. MWBS offers a white-label ISO-as-a-service platform and a comparison tool for SMEs seeking better payment deals.
  • Ontik, a London-based startup automating cash collection for the building trades, raised $3.7m. Payments are processed via Stripe or Yapily for open banking.
  • Paddle, the merchant-of-record platform for SaaS vendors, shrugged off a recent $5m US regulatory fine with a $25m debt raise. Its 2023 accounts showed a £46m operating loss on £57m revenue.Germany’s savings banks remain rare incumbent winners. S-Payment, their merchant services arm, grew revenue 13% to €292m in 2024, with mobile payments (Apple/Google Pay at POS) especially strong. Girocard transactions rose 12%, double the national average. And no red flags were raised in PayOne, the group’s JV with Worldline—which will reassure its beleaguered shareholders.
Bar graph illustrating S-payment sales revenue in millions of euros for the years 2022, 2023, and 2024.

Scheming

Visa and Mastercard are facing mounting legal pressure in Europe. In a landmark UK ruling, a court found that commercial and inter-regional interchange fees breach competition law. Crucially, the court ruled interchange is anti-competitive “by object” – a first which could trigger a wave of merchant damages claims. Both networks plan to appeal.

In Switzerland, major retailers are seeking damages over “unlawfully charged fees,”arguing boldly that card payments should be free. Meanwhile, the Swiss Retail Federation has referred Twint, a mobile payment solution owned by the domestic banks, to regulators, claiming its merchant fees are even higher than credit cards.

Visa and Mastercard justify their fees by highlighting innovations such as tokenisation, now covering nearly half of Mastercard’s European transactions and Click to Pay, their long-delayed answer to PayPal. This is finally getting some serious marketing dollars although these don’t seem to have reached Poland. 

With European payment sovereignty high on the political agenda, much depends on wero, the wallet backed by the European Payments Initiative (EPI). According to Finanz-Szene, EPI has raised an impressive €450m from shareholders including Worldline and Nexi. To succeed wero needs wide distribution through mobile banking apps and broad acceptance from merchants.

The distribution side is going well with five new Belgian banks added and Austria reportedly in talks. Wero claims 42 million users across Belgium, France, and Germany and processed €5bn in P2P volume in its first three months. eCommerce support is due this year, with in-store payments in 2026.

iDEAL, the Dutch online payment method set to be folded into Wero in 2026, grew merchant volume 13% to €100bn in 2024. while overall debit card spend rose just 3%. 

Wero hopes to link with Europe’s domestic mobile wallets, including Blik (Poland), Bancomat (Italy), Bizum (Spain), Vipps (Norway), IRIS (Greece), and MB Way (Portugal). Greece’s IRIS is likely to gain momentum thanks to a new law mandating acceptance both online and in-store.

Blik continues to dominate in Poland, reaching 70% share of eCommerce in Q1. Online volume rose 31% to €12bn. Backed by Mastercard, Blik’s bank shareholders are eyeing cross-border growth. The CEO of PKO BP has urged Central European players like Raiffeisen, UniCredit, and Intesa Sanpaolo to join the Blik consortium.

ISV

The convergence of software and payments, pioneered in the USA, is now accelerating across Europe. A new report from Flagship Consulting highlights the extent to which PSPs are acquiring European software firms to gain distribution in key verticals like restaurants and retail. Let me know if you spot any they’ve missed.

Slide2-Jun-17-2025-12-16-02-9256-PM

American software vendors realised years ago they could double their margins by integrating payments. As Jim Roddy from the Retail Solution Providers Association puts it: “ISVs are the new ISOs. “I visited an RSPA member once, and the CEO didn’t show me new software. He shut the door, plugged in a TV, and pulled up a spreadsheet showing how much he made monthly from payments. The numbers were huge.”

Not all customers are thrilled. American restaurateurs are increasingly frustrated at being locked into inflexible, expensive payment setups bundled with their POS software. While competition authorities haven’t stepped in yet, scrutiny may not be far off, especially if merchants are barred from choosing their processor.

Acquirers hoping to partner with ISVs need to fully embed their offer within the software vendor’s customer proposition. That means API-based onboarding, access to management info, smooth customer service, transparent pricing, and generous commissions for the software partner.

Where does it go wrong? A Dutch restaurant shared on LinkedIn its experience of switching from Worldline to Viva. Integrating Viva’s terminals with its Odoo ECR software took less than two minutes. Worldline supports Odoo too but only via a special IoT box costing €35/month. The restaurant chose Viva despite higher transaction fees, citing better support and a simpler setup. 

Agentic shopping

The public is starting to use ChatGPT and other AI tools for search, and it’s not just Google that should be worried. OpenAI, ChatGPT’s parent company, wants a cut of online purchases made via its platform, posing a margin threat to merchants and commerce platforms alike.

ChatGPT’s prototype shopping agent is slow and error-prone today, but it’s easy to see how it could soon become ubiquitous and render traditional eCommerce websites obsolete. If the AI already knows your shipping and payment info, what’s the point of a checkout page? Simon Taylor explores the implications. Startups like Ogment are already offering tools for merchants to adopt.

Shopify, the world’s leading eCommerce platform, is pushing back, posting a robots.txt file that directs agent developers to its official checkout SDK. Amazon is doing the same. As this LinkedIn discussion shows, Shopify’s move may upset tech purists but will please merchants already overwhelmed by bot traffic.

text

It’s still early days, and AI can’t yet be trusted. In one test, an AI managing an office vending machine lost money by over-discounting snacks and inexplicably stocking unsellable metal cubes.

New shopping

Walmart removed self-checkout from one store and saw police calls fall 50%, suggesting the public is increasingly non-compliant with “honesty-based” retail. That puts new pressure on AI to deliver smarter automation. Here’s a good roundup on autonomous stores.

Despite Amazon’s recent U-turn, checkout-free tech is gaining traction in high-traffic locations like stadiums. In Europe, we’re seeing rollouts in small grocery formats. Coca-Cola HBC plans 15 checkout-free stores in Hungary using low-cost Chinese AI from Cloudpick, integrated by Kende Retail and with payments by myPOS. This price is said to be just €40,000 for each shop.

Old fashioned vending is also rising as a payments channel. This 72-lane Boxbar drink dispenser in Manchester uses Adyen, Global Payments, and Viva for processing.

Having failed to commercialise virtual reality, Meta is now focusing on augmented reality via glasses and recently acquired a 3% stake in EssilorLuxottica, makers of Ray-Ban. It looks less ridiculous than a VR headset and you can imagine the power of AI seeing what you’re seeing and whispering helpful advice in your ear. Or maybe not. Matt Jones explains what it means for payments.

In Hong Kong, Alipay has launched smart glasses that let users pay by looking at a QR code and speaking the amount out loud. Rokid powers the app. Meizu has a similar product, with a dash of dystopia. People using these glasses don’t make eye contact and it’s very disconcerting as you can see from the video.

Product

Here’s a novel but quite risky idea. Better, based in Tel Aviv, is offering to step in to honour transactions where the card is declined due to insufficient funds. This start-up will “save the sale” by settling the merchant (less 10-15% commission) and waiting until after pay-day to put the transaction through. Better says it has already run a proof of concept with PayU. Similar products are available including Bounce.

App Store vendors can now bypass Apple’s 30% commission by using third-party payment processors. Stripe, much better value at 2.9% + 30c, has published a how-to guide. Apple, unsurprisingly, has responded by placing consumer warnings to scare consumers away from alternative payment options.

Many subscription payment providers are struggling to keep up with the move by software vendors away from per seat or tiered pricing to models focused on how much data you crunch. Stripe reports that this “usage-based” billing  is up 145% year to date.

Payments and loyalty

Rewe, the German supermarket giant with 3,800 stores, has launched Rewe Pay, a QR code wallet built by its in-house processor, Paymenttools. Setup is a bit clunky: shoppers register their Girocard, then complete a SEPA direct debit mandate via the app and sign their name on an in-store tablet. After that, payments are easy, made by scanning a QR code at checkout.

Commentators see Rewe Pay as a response to rising processing costs, especially as shoppers increasingly use Apple Pay linked to Visa and Mastercard, but the automatic incorporation of Rewe Bonus points on all purchases is equally interesting.

In a controlled, single-merchant environment like Rewe, the model should work. But I’ve long been sceptical of open-loop, card-linked loyalty. That idea has been around for years but has stumbled on technical barriers, unreliable merchant category code (MCC) data, and the difficulty of building profitable loyalty economics. Plus, card-linking offers benefits after the transaction, not before, making it hard for merchants to recognise high-value customers at the point of sale.

There’s no shortage of casualties:

Still, some players show promise. Krowd, a Techstars-backed London startup focused on restaurants, powers Amex Dining Rewards, has launched with Revolut and has its international expansion backed by Mastercard.

Paylead, based in Bordeaux, takes a bank-centric model, linking consumer ccounts to retail deals at the largest merchants such as Auchan and Decathlon. Paylead raised $6m in 2020. And Loyyo (Netherlands) replaces stamp cards with payment-linked rewards, is available via Adyen and CCV also recently secured new funding.

Fraud update

Chargebacks continue to rise. Ethoca projects global dispute volumes will hit 324 million by 2028, driven mainly by post-sale issues like slow refunds, unclear billing, and delivery friction, rather than outright fraud. The real pain is operational which has pushed merchants to look beyond traditional fraud tools. Visa’s Rapid Dispute Resolution (RDR) is gaining traction and is claimed to cut chargebacks by 20–30% for participating merchants.

A graph showing the number of charges

AI-generated content may be incorrect.

So much for the carrot, here’s the stick. Visa’s updated Acquirer Monitoring Program(VAMP) is raising the stakes. Acquirers now face stricter thresholds, tighter enforcement, and the risk of fines, or even losing their membership if chargeback rates across their merchant portfolios climb too high. TrustPay (not to be confused with Trust Payments) has a solid explainer on the changes.

VAMP and Mastercard’s counterpart, the Excessive Fraud Merchant (EFM) programme, put pressure on acquirers and PSPs to take a more proactive role in policing their portfolios. In recent weeks, both Worldline and Paddle have shown the consequences of inattention. But for merchants, the message is equally clear: chargebacks are no longer just a cost of doing business, they’re a serious reputational and commercial risk that could jeopardise access to processing altogether

Car Commerce

The global auto industry is scrambling for new revenue and wants to pivot to a service-led model where drivers pay for parking, charging, or fuel directly through the vehicle’s OS. Naturally, the car brands want a cut. That’s why many are now resisting Apple’s “CarPlay Ultra”, which sidelines in-car payment systems. The problem? Motorists prefer to dock their phones and control everything from there. Top Gear takes a detailed look in this video.

Jas Shah offers a solid overview of today’s fragmented mobility market. For example, the UK alone has over 30 different parking apps, and that’s before you factor in EV charging.

Under pressure from government, the UK industry has agreed to roll out a National Parking Platform which allows any participating app to work across all publicly owned car parks. It’s already live at 476 locations, handling 550,000 transactions a month. There’s not that much money in parking payments. I calculate the three leaders in the UK market – Ringo, JustPark and Paybyphone – generate annual sales of c.£60m between them.

Open banking

UK open banking payments have stalled, with volumes flat at around 28 million transactions per month since early 2025. This reinforces the urgent need for a proper open banking scheme—with an acceptance mark, rulebook, consumer protection, and a business model that gives banks a reason to maintain high-quality APIs.

Bar graph showing UK Open Banking Payments in millions, with total payments represented in green bars and annual changes in blue line across months from June 2024 to June 2025.

TrueLayer underscored the slow pace of adoption across Europe with new figures from France and Germany Despite claiming a 60% market share in France, it processes just €2bn annually; in Germany, it holds 30% with €1.4bn in volume. Nobody is getting rich soon. A new Stripe partnership may help, but patchy bank APIs continue to limit growth.

Meanwhile, Trustly appears to be the only open banking player making real money. In 2024, volumes rose 54% to $85bn, and net revenue grew 32% to $239m. “Adjusted”EBITDA was up 50% to $73m. Business remains strong in North America and Europe, where Trustly retained its UK Government tax contract. Note: these results come from a press release, not audited accounts.

Trustly’s profit engine is widely believed to be US gaming, so others are following. London-based Yaspa, which offers open banking payments with integrated KYC, has raised $12m to target US iGaming, through a new office in Atlanta.

In a completely different vertical, Bumper, a UK car finance company, has acquired Cocoon, an open banking payment vendor which says its product is used by 20% of car dealers. 

Stable coins

There’s been an explosion of commentary on stablecoins following the approval of Trump’s Genius Act, which for the first time sets out a regulatory framework. Jason Mikula has the details. Genius has triggered a rush among banks, fintechs and retailers to launch their own digital dollars which will be backed 1:1 by US Treasuries, although, unlike dollars in a bank account, there is no deposit insurance.

Why would businesses want in? For one, they keep the interest on Treasury bonds. And for retailers, stablecoin wallets could cut card fees if shoppers preload value. But it’s unclear why everyday users, especially in European democracies with easy access to banking services, would hold a private currency with no consumer protection. “Unless you’re a criminal, there’s no use case,” says Ryan Cummings, former White House advisor.

Business of Payments readers likely have two questions:

  1. When will stablecoins be used for retail payments?
  2. Is there money to be made?

On the first: as Jeremy Light shows, most stablecoin activity today is crypto trading. Retail payments? Just $250m/month, nearly all in Tether (USDT). Visa and Mastercard have cited poor user experience and high fees as major barriers to adoption.

As for profitability: probably not. If stablecoins are fungible, meaning a “Walmart dollar” is interchangeable with a “JPMorgan dollar” then margins may collapse to 10bps, in line with money market funds. Coinbase is already offering 4.1% on USDC, and as Andrew Dresdner notes, that leaves little room for profit.


In other news

The latest UK government payments strategy includes the formation of several new committees: a Payments Vision Delivery Committee, a Vision Engagement Group, and a Retail Payments Infrastructure Board. Undoubtedly good news for those who make a living sitting on industry panels.

In aviation news, Stripe is reportedly suing the investors behind Bonza, the bankrupt Australian airline. Stripe processed payments and now faces 70,000 chargebacks worth A$20 million.

In Denmark, NETS went down on Saturday 19 July, leaving Danes unable to use ATMs or POS terminals at home and abroad across Dankort, Visa, and Mastercard. One group of Danes stranded in Cyprus wrote: “Our plan for now is to try a live performance that includes both singing and dancing, but we are crossing our fingers that the problem is resolved before they refuse to serve us any more beers.”

A group of people sitting at a table with food and drinks

AI-generated content may be incorrect.

Figure 2: Danes struggling to come to terms with the NETS outage

Romania is the latest country to introoduce an industry-backed push to increase card acceptance at small businesses. The ePOSibil programme, backed by Visa and six local banks, offers six months of free terminal rental.

Sifted’s new list of top European B2B SaaS firms includes four from the payments world: infrastructure players Primer (London) and Payrails (Berlin), as well as Brite(open banking, Stockholm) and Sunday (restaurant pay-at-table).

In the US, a court has struck down the Federal Trade Commission’s proposed “click to cancel” rule, which would have required businesses to make cancelling subscriptions as easy as signing up. The rule was fiercely opposed by lobby groups and now looks to be off the table.

Well-financed Volt reports strong growth with good unit economics

Volt, a well-financed open banking payments vendor with global ambitions, reported a strong increase in revenue for 2023. Although the business, like many of its competitors, is still a long way from profitability, the unit economics from early deals look very promising.

Revenue more than doubled in 2023 to £12.9m. Volt is based in London but the vast majority of sales came from EU where it has opened offices in Krakow and Berlin. The Krakow team looks after its Polish PI licence which supplements Volt’s existing UK EMI authorisation. The business is also active in Brazil and Australia. 

In total, Volt processed £0.62bn in 2023 from 8.8m transactions. Revenue per transaction rose slightly to £1.46 equivalent to a take rate of 2.1%. This is premium pricing and well ahead of the typical c.20-25p for open banking transactions reported by Jeremy Light in recent industry commentary. Volt’s ATV was up 7% to £70.4. 

Volt is evolving its product offer and now supplements payment initiation with pay-outs and provision of bank-lite products such as virtual IBANs. If you want to see Volt’s payment flow, donate a few euros to UNICEF. The checkout is elegant and even includes a prompt to steer shoppers away from cards towards open banking.

Key merchant customers include Farfetch for the UK, Germany and Netherlands but Volt has also been active negotiating key distribution partnerships. These promise significant volume if/when open banking payments become mainstream. Partners include leading ISVs such as Shopify and merchant acquirers such as Worldline.

Volt is self-styled network of networks and pays fees to 3rd parties for access to their API aggregation services. It also must pay its banking-as-a-service vendor for the provision of virtual accounts. These costs held steady at an average of 16p/transaction, well below Volt’s selling price.

Gross margin of £1.30 per transaction is impressive and led to gross profit more than doubling to £11.5m.

Administrative expenses rose much less quickly than revenue, growing 14% to £23.2m including £8.5m of employee expense. Staff numbers rose from 118 to 202 (of which 90 were contractors). The staff are good value, costing just £42K each.

Volt’s operating loss narrowed from £16.9m to £11.7m. Accumulated losses were £31m at year end.

Volt took $60m new funding in 2023 taking the total fundraise to $90m and finished the year with £38m cash in the bank. This is enough for three years at the current burn rate. If volumes increase as expected and Volt can maintain its premium pricing, the business should be one of the winners in this sector. 

Truelayer – revenues finally growing but still a long way from profitability

Truelayer, the leading open banking payments provider, is finally beginning to grow its revenues but, despite cost-cutting, the business remains a long way from profitability.

Reporting results for 2023, Truelayer says that payment volume doubled to £21bn and had reached an annualised £25.5bn by the end of the year. Momentum is growing and the company’s website now claims annualised volume of £29bn from 120m transactions. Truelayer’s multiple partnerships and blue chip customer relationships are beginning to deliver.

Founded by Franceso Simoneschi in 2016, Truelayer is backed by a stellar rosta of investors including Stripe, Tiger Global and Anthemis. It has received total funding of $272m according to Crunchbase. The most recent round of $130m in 2021 valued the business at $1bn.

Truelayer describes itself as “Europe’s leading open banking payments network” but has dropped a previous claim of market leadership in four European countries. Instead, it reports “significant market share” in UK, Ireland, Spain, France, Germany and Netherlands. 

The London-based fintech is investing at pace to establish leadership in the crowded market for open banking payments. Along with its competitors – Tink, Token, Volt, Yapily etc – Truelayer aggregates connections to thousands of banks into a single API. This allows merchants to offer consumers the option to pay from almost any bank through a single connection with Truelayer. Capability now extends to pay-outs and customer onboarding too.

Customers include Coinbase, Revolut and William Hill. Truelayer has some good case studies. For example, lastminute.com found that offering openbanking payments grew average order value by 20% and was a helpful resilience tool during the Crowdstrike outage. 

Revenue tripled to £12.43m in 2023 but Truelayer is having to work hard for the money. Open banking transactions, at least for high-ticket items, are much cheaper than cards. Truelayer’s take rate is just 5bps which compares to 30-90bps for a traditional merchant acquirer. However, most open banking deals are believed to be priced per transaction. By this measure, Truelayer’s average of c.12p is reasonable but you still need to sell a lot of transactions at this price to justify a unicorn’s valuation. 

Simoneschi understands this. Speaking in June, he told journalists that “scale is everything…. We are an infrastructure business. That means we are likely going to spend a lot of time and a lot of years building and spending money before actually earning.

Cost of sales rose fourfold to £4.64 with gross margins falling 7ppt to 63%.

With Fintech investors less generous than of late, management has kept an eye on costs. Total employee expenses were down 7% at £43m. One third of engineering and product staff were laid off and total staff numbers fell from 434 to 346. But Truelayer kept on selling. Client care and sales numbers rose slightly.

Overall, administrative expenses were 4% lower at £62m.

Despite the reduction in development resource, Truelayer has been busy launching new products. 

Variable Recurring Payments (VRP) is widely expected to transform the openbanking payment market by offering a modern replacement for direct debits. Truelayer says it is now processing 1m VRPs each month.

Management is also very pleased with progress from Signup+ which combines account set-up with making the first payment in a single action. And Truelayer has launched Payment Links which allows merchants to send an openbanking payment request via a text or email. 

The payout product is also growing quickly, notably in Belgium, France, Netherlands and Portugal.

With a fast growing number of transactions flowing over a steady cost base, the operating loss narrowed a little to £54m from £61m in 2022. Accumulated losses now stand at £198m. With £51m cash in the bank at the end of 2023, Truelayer has another 12 months to become cash positive or will need to take additional capital.

[Update: Truelayer has raised an additional $50m from existing investors.]

Management is pleased with the 2023 results, saying “overall this was a significant year for the company and has laid strong foundations for continued growth and success in 2024”.

If shoppers do shift quickly from cards to open banking, the prize for API aggregators such as Truelayer could be significant. Transaction volumes are finally beginning to grow but competition between the specialist open banking vendors is reported to be ferocious. Consolidation is inevitable. In the past few weeks, we’ve seen GoCardless buy Nuapay and Paypoint acquire OB Connect. And Kevin, a well-funded Lithuanian open banking competitor couldn’t find a buyer and is now in liquidation.

The future is likely to favour open banking vendors with wealthy and committed backers.  Truelayer should be one of winners but there is a long road still ahead.

Newsletter – July 2024

The Payments Business

Klarna has sold its gateway business to a local investor consortium for $520m. Klarna Checkout (KCO) claims 40% share of its home market of Sweden and 20% across the Nordics as a whole.

It’s obvious why Klarna is selling. KCO competed with key distribution partners such as Stripe and Adyen and the very generous sale proceeds will bolster Klarna’s balance sheet and help grow its lending business.

But it’s less clear how KCO’s new owners will make a return on their investment. Stand-alone gateways have been under considerable pricing pressure in recent years, and many have ended up vertically integrated into the larger merchant acquirers.

In banking news, BNP Paribas and BPCE, which together handle c.30% of card payments in France, will invest €100m each and pool their payment capabilities to create a joint-venture with the scale to compete with Worldline and Nexi. Technology will be “home grown” and most likely a continuation of Partecis, an in-house platform based on ACI products. While there’s plenty of scope for synergy in France, the JV will find its hoped for international expansion rather more challenging as PagoNxt, Santander’s payment unit, demonstrated when it recently closed its German operations.

As predicted in last month’s Business of Payments, Sabadell has postponed the sale of its merchant services business to Nexi. Sabadell is subject to a hostile takeover from BBVA, another Spanish bank. BBVA has a good in-house payment offer and has less need of Nexi’s products.

IDC, a London-based research firm, has published vendor evaluations for online and omni-channel retail payments. The full reports cost $20,000 each but the top ranked firms have helpfully made their sections available free of charge. Stripe comes top for online payments although is marked down for being expensive. Adyen is first for omni-channel but customers are warned that its all-in-one solution may lack flexibility.

Stripe is notably missing from IDC’s omni-channel evaluation but is quickly becoming a very credible option for cross-channel merchants in Europe. Stripe has launched a suite of new enterprise services in France including its S700 POS terminal, acceptance of Carte Bancaire and an integration with CEGID, a leading local retail ISV. Stripe claims half the CAC-40 companies as customers and announced that Accor, the hotel group with over 5,600 locations worldwide, is standardising on Stripe for its new, centralised booking system. Stripe obsessives will enjoy this detailed history of the business.

Viva Wallet’s lawsuit with JP Morgan ended in a London courtroom with both sides claiming victory. JPM paid an eye-popping $800m for 48.5% of Viva in 2022, primarily to gain access to SME customer onboarding tools for European markets. Haris Karonis, Viva’s founder, claimed that JPM then deliberately blocked his company’s launch in the US so that the giant American bank could buy the rest of Viva on the cheap. JPM counter-claimed that Karonis failed to understand how far Fintech valuations had fallen.

Financial results of listed payment companies have settled down post-pandemic into a phase of steady but unspectacular growth. FXC have crunched the Q1 numbers so you don’t have to.

A wero for your thoughts

A female white soul singer with big hair sings "I need a Wero" in a German beer cellar while holding a phone displaying a QR code

It’s taken four years and 14 of the original 31 banks have exited the consortium but the European Payment Initiative (EPI) has finally launched wero, the long-long-awaited domestic European payment champion. Wero, a combination of “we” and “euro”, is live for person-to-person money transfer, initially for customers of co-operative and savings banks in Germany and KBC in Belgium. French banks come on stream in the autumn.

Shoppers will be able to make eCommerce payments with wero from early 2025 and Computop, the German PSP, has already begun asking merchants to register to be part of a pilot. In-store payments will follow in 2026.

Payments & Banking, a German blog, explains what wero is and what it is not.

The consensus from payment experts is that for wero to succeed the EPI needs to focus ruthlessly on user experience and keep the member banks firmly in the background. And “I need a wero” is the only song that will do as you can hear in this short commercial. 

Paydirekt and Sofort axed

Even though wero is at least six months away from being ready for eCommerce, its launch sparked the unexpectedly early closure of Paydirekt/Giropay, a domestic competitor to PayPal launched by the German banks in 2016. 

Insiders tell me that the service termination was badly handled. Giropay switched off its old integration interface at the end of June even though many acquirers had not yet migrated to the new version.

Meanwhile, Klarna has announced the closure of Sofort, the German online bank transfer service which it bought for $150m in 2013. Merchants will be migrated to Pay Now, Klarna’s open banking product. This includes buyer protection which is great for shoppers but less exciting for Sofort’s many merchants in the gambling and adult sectors. These customers will be looking for alternatives.

Klarna’s new wrapper doesn’t come cheap. In Germany, Adyen is charging 1.35% + €0.20 for Klarna Pay Now transactions. For UK merchants, Mollie is asking a punchy 4.99% + £0.30.

If that wasn’t enough disruption, Shopify is deactivating Amazon Pay as a payment option from all European merchants. No reason was given and merchants are really unhappy.

Scheming

Blik, the wildly successful Polish mobile payment standard, continues its stunning growth with payment volume up 53% in 2023 to €29bn. Blik is jointly owned by Mastercard and a number of local banks who have suddenly woken up to the importance of their investment. From now on, the banks will send their CEO’s to Blik’s board meetings.

Bancomat, the Italian domestic debit scheme, is finally getting its act together. Milan-based investment fund FIS has made a €100m investment, the board has been slimmed down to speed decision making and a new CEO appointed from Mastercard. Nexi runs the technology for Bancomat and has put the card scheme live on Apple Pay and as a payment option on Amazon.

Read more about Bancomat’s 2023 results on the Business of Payments blog.

ISV

We’re taking a keen interest in the convergence of software and payments. Flagship Consulting’s latest report shows quite how dependent many American ISV’s have become on payment and other financial services revenue. 

In response, payment processors know they need to partner with ISVs and some have gone further, buying or building an in-house range of vertical software. 

Intriguingly, the stock market value of payment processors that offer software is rather lower than software vendors that offer payments processing. Jevgenijs Kazanins looks at why Toast (an ISV that offers payments) is valued more highly than Shift4 (a processor that offers software) even though Toast makes much less money. His conclusion is that ISV’s are better at securing recurring revenues under contract.

European ISV’s have now realised they too can make money from processing. The  opportunity is smaller than in North America because payment margins in Europe are much lower. Nevertheless, a savvy commerce software vendor can still double profit margins by embedding payments in its core merchant offer.

With so many acquirers and PSP’s pivoting towards ISV’s as their primary distribution channel, a number of start-ups have begun offering key parts of the technology stack as-a-service. Here are a few that have caught my eye.

  • Chift, based in Brussels, offers PSPs connections to a range of leading accounting, eCommerce and ePOS software though a single API. The company just raised €2.3m
  • Shape Technologies is offering payments-platform-as-a-service to payment facilitators with capabilities including onboarding, KYC and billing. Shape is founded by alumni from Cardstream and is helping put Taunton, Somerset on the Fintech map.
  • Fung, in Amsterdam, offers a similar product set to Shape but is also a payment institution and can handle the money flow too.
  • Dublin/Vilnius based Paynt, goes one step further with a full acquiring-as-a-service proposition.Subscribe

New shopping

We’re keeping a close eye on the progress of autonomous stores as one possible driver of a seismic shift in grocery transactions from POS to the shopper’s phone.

Rewe is leading the deployment of “just walk out” formats in Europe. The German supermarket giant has opened a 1200 sq metre autonomous store in Hamburg using technology from Trigo which can even identify fresh meat and cheeses picked from the deli counter. Showing confidence in the concept, even where labour costs are much lower than Germany, Rewe has also opened an autonomous store in Bucharest.  

Although sceptics point out that frictionless checkout often involves more manual intervention than the vendors let on, the use cases are multiplying. For example, in a village store in Switzerland a shipping container is transformed into an unmanned convenience store (or walk-in vending machine) using technology from FastaXs.

Biometric payments

With early pilots looking positive, there’s growing momentum behind new biometric payment technology in the US, including palm payments (favoured by Amazon) and even face payments. JP Morgan is taking an interest in the latter with a partnership with PopID, a Californian start-up which has an early lead in the technology.

In Europe, Mastercard is backing PayEye, a Polish start-up which is piloting its iris/facial recognition product at five locations of Empik, a large retailer of books, toys and games.

Digital reciepts

A number of start-ups are trying to make it easier for merchants and consumers to move to digital receipts. Habits are hard to shift. Despite a new legal requirement in France that paper receipts should be opt-in only, Auchan, the grocery chain, reports 60% of shoppers still ask for paper.  

  • In the UK, Slipp, which boasts JD Sports as an early client has raised £750K. Slipp integrates with the ePOS software to send the shopper a text or email. JD Sports says using Slipp’s SMS receipts to promote its loyalty programme is increasing the number of customer sign-ups.
  • Anybill, from Regensberg in Germany, asks customers to scan a QR code presented by the ePOS. Pricing ranges from €4.49 to €35.99 per month per outlet.
  • Yocuda, a French start-up acquired by Global Blue, claims to have delivered over 2m electronic receipts to over 200,000 identified shoppers. Clients include Halfords and Decathlon.
  • Receipt Hero, based in Helsinki, has raised additional funds to supplement the $5.7m already invested. Receipt Hero offers cardlinking as well as QR scans. Partners include PayOne.
  • Pi-xcels from Singapore has an elegantly simple product that delivers an e-receipt automatically when the shopper taps their phone on the payment terminal. The product integrates with the terminal not the ePOS software and is available on Ingenico and PAX.

There’s an open question whether digital receipts can establish themselves as product category in their own right or whether merchants would prefer to buy the capability as a feature of existing POS or CRM software.

Artificial Intelligence

Artificial Intelligence is moving up and down the hype curve faster than any previous technology as Benedict Evans explains. McDonalds has already hit the trough of disillusionment  and shut down a pilot with IBM that used AI to automate order taking at 100 drive-thru restaurants. The robots made too many mistakes such as adding bacon to ice cream.

Worldline is taking a more measured pace and has detailed how it is managing its AI initiatives. This is 1500 words of big company governance, stage gates and committees. I wish them luck.

SoftPOS

This technology, which allows any off the shelf consumer device to accept contactless card payments, was originally touted as a micro-merchant proposition but is proving most popular with large enterprises.

LVMH is leading the innovation. Liberated from the need to locate the nearest payment terminal, sales associates at Christian Dior, an LVHM brand, each have their own iPhone to serve customers wherever they are in the store. Dior has worked with Adyen, Global Blue and Vo2 Group, a Paris HQ’d tech consultancy, to add instant VAT tax refunds to the proposition.

In vendor news, Rubean, based in Munich, has raised an additional €2m capital to finance its strong growth. Sales are forecast to rise to €2.2-€2.5m this year from €1m in 2023 on the back of new distribution deals.

Rubean’s partnership with Global Payments may be threatened by the Atlanta processor’s unpublicised purchase of Yazara. The Global/Yazara tie up is likely also to be bad news for MyPinPad  which local sources suggest may be replaced as supplier to eService, Poland’s largest acquirer, which Global bought last year.

In better news for MyPinPad, Ur&Penn, a leading chain of jewellers in Norway, is using its SoftPOS application to take store payments on the associate’s Android phones. 2izii is the integrator and Elavon the acquirer.

Phos, acquired by Ingenico in 2023, is making good progress building out its distribution network, announcing a key partnership with Shift4, a US processor with big ambitions in Europe. Phos is also the technology partner for BORICA, which provides SoftPOS to the three largest banks in Bulgaria. BORICA claims 1,500 “terminals” live today.

In Italy, Ultroneo has implemented MarketPay’s PayWish SoftPOS application for its Get Your Cash merchant proposition. Volumes are growing swiftly (see below) but it’s not been plain sailing. Writing on LinkedIn, one Ultroneo director explained “For nearly 12 months now we have been struggling with the teething problems of this new technology. Bug after bug, incident after incident, we have managed to stabilize the SoftPos to the delight of our customers.”

Image preview

Openbanking

The UK’s incoming Labour government is making very positive noises about fintech. Quoting from its manifesto: “Financial services are one of Britain’s greatest success stories. Labour will create the conditions to support innovation and growth in the sector, through supporting new technology, including Open Banking and Open Finance and ensuring a pro-innovation regulatory framework.”

There is much that a new regulatory approach could deliver, including an open banking acceptance mark, “scheme” rules to ensure common standards for authorisation codes, refunds etc, the introduction of consumer protection and a recognition that all this cannot be provided free of charge.

Positively, the number of open banking payments made in the UK rose c.50% year-on-year to 17m in May 2024. Variable Recurring Payments (VRPs), the open banking equivalent of direct debits, now account for 11% of the total.

The increase is encouraging but compared with the 2bn debit card transactions made in the UK in a typical month, volumes remain very small.

The slow take up of open banking has implications for the large number of vendors operating in this sector. There are twenty listed on the UK government’s procurement framework alone. If revenues don’t arrive soon, only the best capitalised will be able to keep trading until the product goes mainstream.

Truelayer, hopes to be one of the survivors, having raised a remarkable total of $271m from its investors. Truelayer’s CEO has given an interview  to explain that he is playing a long game, saying “We are an infrastructure business. That means we are likely going to spend a lot of time and a lot of years building and spending money before actually earning,”Subscribe

Cash

Germany is often cited as the last hold-out of the cash economy but the latest Bundesbank payment survey shows a further decline in the use of paper money. The cash share of transactions fell 7% points in 2023 to 51% and its share of volume by 4% points to 26%.

Old habits die hard. A Bavarian bar-owner called the police after a Latvian customer paid for 16 beers with 16 separate card transactions.  

It’s no surprise that policy-makers in many countries are grappling with the implications of the world going cashless. For example, Ireland has passed an “Access to Cash” law which gives the government powers to set minimum numbers of ATMs for each area. The local banks, and their customers, will bear the cost. Revolut, wildly popular in Ireland, will likely get a free ride.  

Without this kind of subsidy, independent operators will stuggle. In Poland, Euronet, which manages 50.000 ATMs, limited withdrawals to PLN200 (€46) for one day as a protest at the government’s refusal to let it to charge for transactions. Euronet complains that it is losing money because local banks pay just PLN 1.2 (€0.28) per withdrawal. We assume that Euronet probably more than makes up for the shortfall with its eyewatering DCC charges for tourists.

An enterprising British artist commented on his struggles to find a place to withdraw cash by fixing an ATM to a bridge in the middle of a river.

Facade of grey atm machine with screen, buttons on brick buttress with rippling water below

Of course, even if cash is available, retailers may decide not to accept it. This British pub says it has saved 12 hours work each week by going cashless. Cash is expensive to handle and the costs grow as volume declines. The Portuguese Central Bank believes cash costs merchants 2.96% compared to 0.78% for debit cards.

Image preview

Crypto corner

Crypto currencies are assets not money, yet vendors persist in bringing forward payment acceptance solutions at POS.

Few have heard of SpacePay, but give it a year, and it will likely be a household name” is the bold claim from this London based start-up which graduated from Barclays’ fintech accelerator. SpacePay, which has raised $750K, says it will allow people to spend crypto at “most existing point of sale card machines.” It’s not clear how this would work in practice.

If there is a user base for crypto at POS anywhere, it’s going to be in a cross-border market such as Luxembourg where some shoppers may not want their home country authorities to know what they are buying.

Done4You, an ISO based just across the border in Namur, Belgium, has implemented crypto at POS for a petrol station in the Grand Duchy using GoCrypto’s technology. Crypto transaction are 1.25% compared to interchange + 0.5% for credit cards.

In other news

Fiserv’s brand association with the Republican National Convention in Minneapolis is dividing opinion.

Good news for travellers. International cards are finally accepted at 97% of Dutch payment terminals and will reach 100% by the end of this year.

The Netherlands experienced its longest payment outage for five years as 30%-40% of PIN transactions failed over a three hour period. The problem was blamed on Equens (Worldline), the domestic inter-bank network. Worldline is also reportedly behind a shorter outage affecting UK grocers earlier this month.

A sign of the times. Such is the consumer uptake of Apple and Google Pay, one French bank has found that 20% of customers opt not to be sent a physical card.

Advent, whose portfolio companies include MangoPay, Planet and MyPOS, is excited about vertical payment/software bundles, specialist tools to support eCommerce and solving cross-border challenges.

Follow the money. European VCs have picked their top payment start-ups

We’ve not seen many layoffs recently but Rapyd, the Israeli acquirer/processor, is cutting 30 posts in its home country

TSG, an American consulting business, runs an annual payments API competition. Adyen is the overall winner with Square as runner up.

And Finally

Stripe has opened a new London office and is celebrating with a rather mystifyingbrand advertising campaign aimed at enterprise customers.

Image

Photo credit Jevgenijs Kazanins

How to get in touch

Geoffrey Barraclough

geoff@barracloughandco.com

www.businessofpayments.com

Konsentus sold to its management for just £350K in pre-pack administration

Konsentus, a leading open banking technology provider, has been sold to its management in a pre-pack administration for just £350K according to documents deposited at UK Companies House. Konsentus continues to trade and the 19 staff on London have been transferred to a new company. 

The sale shines a light on the difficulties common to many vendors as the market for open banking grows much more slowly than expected

Konsentus was founded in 2018 by Mike Woods and Brendan Jones to provide open banking directory services to central banks, financial services regulators, and financial institutions. It claims to consolidate data from more than 115 registries or databases in Europe.

High profile advisor, David Parker, also invested and joined the board. Mastercard invested in 2019 followed by a VC, Middle Game Ventures in 2020. The business raised £7m of capital in total, supplemented by £2m loans from Israeli bank, Mizrahi Tefahot. 

The administrators say that the company had “anticipated that open banking would be adopted at a much faster pace than was the case.” It blames both the war in Ukraine and the uptick in global price inflation. 

As a result of the slow pace of market development, Konsentus “experienced cash flow difficulties and attracting new customers became challenging.” Despite taking actions to reduce operating costs, the company “was still under pressure from its creditors and was unable to pay its liabilities as they fell due.” HMRC was threatening winding up for non-payment of taxes which presented an imminent risk of insolvency leading to the appointment of administrators in February 2024.

The administrator’s report shows that despite claiming to be active in 37 markets around the world, Konsentus made sales of just £1.7m in 2022/23. The operating loss was £1.9m, taking accumulated losses to £9m.

Management has spent £7m developing the company’s products and also acquired a French business, Open Banking Europe (OBE) for £1.46m which is now being wound down. 

Konsentus has been offered for sale as a going concern since early February. The administrators say that it attracted plenty of interest with 16 parties signing the NDA to receive full particulars. However, all 16 declined to bid for the company, citing “high customer churn, low recurring revenues and customer renewal risk.

The only offer received was from the founders themselves at a knock-down price of just £350K. The money is payable in stages over the next 12 months plus 5% of any turnover between £2 -£3m and 7.5% above £3m.

There is general consensus that open banking offers the chance to reengineer the relationship between banks and their customers in new and exciting ways. In taking control of a leading technology provider for just £350K, the new owners of Konsentus may have got themselves a bargain if they can finance trading until reaching breakeven.

GoCardless losses widen but pledges drive to “profitability as quickly as possible”

GoCardless, the London HQ’d account to account (A2A) specialist, reported losses widening to £77m in the year to June 2023 despite higher revenues and good progress on upselling value added services. The business wants to be the “world’s bank payment network” and provides recurring and one-off payments using direct debits and open banking through offices in London, Paris and Melbourne with a growing support centre in Riga. 

GoCardless, has raised an astonishing total of $529m from investors but says it is now conscious of the market’s “reduced appetite to invest in later stage growth companies.” Management says it will now drive “the business to profitability as quickly as possible and achieve EBITDA break even within 12-18 months. No additional financing will be necessary. 

The new strategy was backed in March 2024 by the €34m acquisition of Nuapay. Based in Ireland, Nuapay is a mature business that processes €44bn of direct debit, SEPA Instant and open banking transactions. Although Nuapay’s previous owners were forecasting €1.2m EBITDA losses, it could be quickly profitable if successfully integrated into GoCardless.

Returning to the 2022/23 financial year, GoCardless total payment volume rose 37% to £31bn with revenue rising 31% to £92m. The take rate dropped by 1bp to 0.3%. 

GoCardless supports a wide range of large and small merchants including Tripadvisor, AON and The Guardian newspaper. Total merchant numbers grew 12% to 85,000. The operational metrics of existing customers look good. Volume per merchant was up 22% to £364K and revenue per merchant grew 17% to £1,080. 

Revenue per customer has increased as GoCardless successfully upsold a range of value added services charged above the basic fees of 20p per transaction + 1% for domestic transactions and 2% for international ones. VAS include adding the merchant’s name on the shopper’s bank statement (£50/month), Success+ which uses AI to improve acceptance rates for 0.25% per tx and Protect+ which reduces fraud risk for 0.15% per tx.  

Less positively, GoCardless saw a higher rate of cancellations and a larger number of renewals at lower committed revenues. Cancellations were primarily due to merchant failure which is understandable given the macro conditions but the downsells were attributed to “under utilisation of expected volumes.”

Management is looking to derisk revenue by shifting customers from pay as you go to contract plans that promise lower prices and extra sales/service support in return for minimum spend. Committed revenue was up 54% to £40.5m and now accounts for 44% of total sales.

The global strategy has a long way to run. GoCardless is still very dependent on its home markets of UK & Ireland which saw sales up 26% to £70.9m and represent 77% of total revenue. International sales grew 50% from a low base to £21m. Merchants are spread very thinly with France, where GoCardless has an office, the only international market (£8m) making a significant contribution.

Cost of sales was up 43% at £21.5m while administrative expenses rose 27% to £145m including a 23% increase in employee costs to £90.9m. Staff numbers rose from 692 to 764 with average cost up 11% to a very generous £119k. 

Following its decision to prioritise profitability, GoCardless launched a restructuring programme that included taking a £7.7m charge. 219 job were lost as operational support teams moved to Riga where GoCardless already had an office through its acquisition of Nordigen, an open banking vendor. The business has since opened a new office in Latvia which is expected to welcome more than 300 employees by the end of 2024.

Operating losses widened to £77.5m from £60.9m in 2022, equivalent to £911 per customer. Accumulated losses stand at at a not inconsiderable £249m. In contrast, Trustly, a comparable European A2A provider of roughly the same size as GoCardless, reported break-even at its last financial results.

A2A transactions are not risk free and GoCardless is cautious with its accounting. Fraud loss provision was up 11% at £4.3m, bad debt up 60% at £2.5m, inactive account provision increased 65% to £3.2m and overdue receivables rose 53% to £3.0m. Total provisions stood at £13m or 14% of turnover.

To guard against future losses, GoCardless now holds £6.5m in merchant deposits, more than twice the amount retained a year earlier.

Looking ahead, management sees the company’s prospects as very healthy with the market opportunity for A2A payments remaining strong. The CEO told Sifted that “despite the touch macroeconomic environment, these results demonstrate that we’re moving from strength to strength.”

Newsletter – April 2024

A person standing at a podium

Description automatically generated

The Payment Business

Forrester’s latest analysis of merchant payment providers makes for fascinating reading. The scoring can be a little incoherent at times but the report includes unparalleled direct feedback from Forrester’s clients. Stripe and Adyen come out best but don’t escape criticism. Stripe is “expensive” and Adyen’s support “can be hit and miss.

Image

Global Payments and Worldline, neither of whom participated in the research, score badly. Forrester doesn’t think either has done enough platform integration.

To celebrate its top spot, Adyen has made the report available free of charge. It’s worth a read and a reminder to always engage with analysts. The more you communicate – product roadmaps, customer testimonials, invitations to events etc – the better coverage you get.

Forrester aside, Worldline had a good month by recent standards. The beleaguered processor has won the fight with arch-rival Nexi to become the exclusive partner of Cassa Centrale Group. The deal doubles the size of Worldline’s Italian business by adding more than 90,000 POS terminals processing €9bn annually.

The next Italian bank up for grabs is Banca Popolare di Sondio which is reportedly considering selling its merchant services business and ending its partnership with Nexi. Worldline is said to be in poll position to pay €70-€100m for 25K POS processing €2.2bn. Nexi, BCC Pay and Market Pay are also in the running.

Worldline has also finalised its JV with Credit Agricole in France. Meriem Echcherfi, currently head of merchant services at the French bank, will run the new business which will should be live in early 2025. This is smart move. The first rule of bank partnerships is to hire your general manager from the bank.

Nexi reported decent full year results with merchant services revenue up 6% in Q4 2023 and a particularly good performance in Germany. Management will be relieved that Unicredit, Italy’s largest bank, looks set to renew it partnership with Nexi and extend the relationship to additional countries.

Stripe celebrated becoming cashflow positive for the first time. This takes the pressure off a possible IPO. “We’re not in a rush,” said the CEO. Stripe’s 2023 letter to shareholders was very bullish but didn’t disclose the company’s revenue or profit numbers.

The letter did reveal that payment volume rose 25% in 2023 to exceed $1tn and that the business is increasingly servicing larger merchants. More than 100 of Stripe’s clients process over $1bn and it has been signing good omni-channel customers such as Hertz. The car rental giant is moving its worldwide payment acceptance to Stripeincluding installing BBPOS terminals in 3,000 locations. The big win for Hertz is to be able to accept Apple Pay. Although this seems a low bar, it’s a real pain point in the US.

PAX Technology had a difficult 2023 as key customers showed “increased prudence in payment terminal deployment.” Revenue was down 18% to $860m and profits down 12% to $150m. In Europe, PAX called out good performances in Italy, the United Kingdom, Turkey, Spain and France but Germany proved more challenging.

Although than 50% of sales are Android terminals, PAX is struggling to generate revenue from services. Sales of SaaS solutions associated with the 11m devices connected to MAX Store were just $13m.

Paypoint, one of the UK’s leading ISO’s, will consolidate all its processing with Lloyds Bank Cardnet. Paypoint’s 20,000 merchants deliver around £7bn volume and the acquiring relationship had been at risk, notably from Global Payments Inc., which inherited a chunk of Paypoint’s merchants when it bought EVO last year. It looks like Lloyds’ ability to extend its offer to include a bank account and commercial card won the deal.

We saw several interesting fund raises this month.

  • PPRO, the white label local payments platform, raised €85m, taking its total investment to an eye-popping $462m. PPRO has some great customers including Stripe and PayPal and insiders tell me it hopes to be EBITDA positive by the end of 2024. 
  • Flowpay, the Czech merchant cash advance specialist, raised €2.1m to expand out of its home market. Already boasting key local ISV partnerships including Dotypos, Storyous and Shoptet, Flowpay is one to watch.
  • Bezahl, a Cologne based supplier of payment acceptance to car dealers, raised €22m. The business already has 130 clients serving 1,100 locations. Bezahl charges a monthly fee per location and sends most transactions to Adyen for processinghttps://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/zplTu4QN3zA?rel=0&autoplay=0&showinfo=0&enablejsapi=0

Staying in Germany, REWE, the supermarket giant, has spun out its payment acceptance team with the brand name of Payment Tools. REWE’s strategy mirrors that of its French rival, Carrefour, which demerged its payment division as MarketPay.

Finally, GoCardless has bought Nuapay, a specialist in SEPA Instant, UK direct debits and open banking, from EML Payments, the hapless Australian processor, for €34m. Nuapay, based in Ireland processes €44bn of A2A transactions annually and is forecast to lose €1.2m EBITDA this year. GoCardless also revealed its latest financial results in an exclusive interview with Sifted. Discussing a substantial loss of £80m on sales of £92m, the CEO said “The results demonstrate that we’re moving from strength to strength.

MPE 2024

This year’s Merchant Payment Ecosystem conference in Berlin was as good as ever. Read this special edition of Business of Payments to discover more about the end of cards, digital Euro and the slow uptake of open banking. 

I moderated an entertaining panel discussion nominally about consumer behaviour but actually covering a variety of topics from Saudi investment in Fintech to why Finland’s largest retailer chose Adyen for its payment processing. The panelists were Adil Riaz from NearPay, a SoftPOS vendor, Gábor Bujáki from OTP Bank, Hungary’s largest acquirer, Janine Kaiser from The Payments Association EU and Kai Lindström from S-Group, Finland’s largest retailer. Watch the conversation below..

Schemes

Visa and Mastercard’s landmark deal to end 20 years of US litigation on “swipe fees”attracted much press coverage. The schemes have conceded an average 7bp reduction in Interchange paid to card-issuing banks. Although retailers will have more freedom to introduce surcharging, it’s likely that large merchants on IC++ pricing will see most of the benefits. Consumers may be annoyed by some potentially rather complex POS flows as merchants attempt to calculate differential surcharges by card type.

Immediately after this announcement, Mastercard revealed it was increasing scheme fees in the US. Just like a casino, the house always wins.

On this side of the Atlantic, leading French retailers including SNCF and Auchan report that the transaction share of Carte Bancaire, the domestic card scheme, has fallen from 97% to 85% in just three years. Shoppers are increasingly choosing to pay with mobile wallets or Visa/Mastercard branded cards issued by the neo banks. The retailers are not happy, saying that international cards cost 1.2% on average compared to 0.9% for CB.

JP Morgan has become the first US bank to join Carte Bancaires. A spokesman said the move was “mainly a request from our customers, the use of the [CB] network being less expensive than that of other card networks.” 

Ireland no longer has a local scheme so it’s hard to understand recent thinking in Dublin. Ireland’s Central Bank announced that the country’s payments strategy “needs drastic change” only months after the competition authorities killed an attempt to do just this by outlawing the introduction of a domestic mobile payment scheme. Revolut, which is wildly popular in Ireland, will likely profit from this regulatory confusion.

Blik, the fast-growing Polish mobile payment standard, has restated its international ambitions. With launches already planned in Slovakia and Romania, management believes “Blik Euro” could become a pan-European payment system. Local vendors are innovating with Blik. Posnet is offering Blik acceptance at cash registers without the need for a payment terminal. eService (Global Payments) is providing the processing. Fees are 0.6% + 1.4c.

Wero, the new QR based mobile payment scheme promoted by the European Payment Initiative is supposed to launch in June. However, the EPI has not posted any news on its website since December. We await updates with interest.

Capital One has revealed more of its plans for Discover, the US card network it hopes to acquire later this year. The new owners want to “fix” the network’s international acceptance, “which is not quite where it needs to be, for the entirety of our card business today,” said its VP Finance.

New Shopping

Amazon shocked the industry by axing its “Just Walk Out’ Stores in the USA, resulting “a few hundred” layoffs in its technology team. Instead, the company will focus on its new range of Smartcarts. Retail analysts conclude that Just Walk Out technology does not scale for large format stores – it’s too expensive and needs too much manual intervention. Amazon had previously revealed that 1,000 staff in India acted as “virtual cashiers” for its autonomous stores.

While there still seems a strong business case for Just Walk Out in small format stores, Amazon’s decision will come as a blow to other retailers that have bought its technology, presumably to benefit from Amazon’s well-funded roadmap. One of these may be Delaware North, a hospitality vendor that has just installed Just Walk Out technology to sell beer at London’s Wembley Stadium.

Other vendors are available. Lekkerland has installed three AI-based smart fridges at an EV charging station in Saxony. You tap your payment card, open the door, remove the items and are automatically billed. Portuguese start-up, Reckon.ai is providing the technology.

We’ve been talking about RFID to automate grocery checkouts for over twenty years but it’s still not ready. Walmart has withdrawn a pilot in which it used RFID to verify whether customer’s self-scanned purchases were accurate. 

Sometimes simpler is better. Take a look at Sticky, a Manchester-based start-up which allows consumers to pay by simply tapping a cheap NFC label. “You can get a drink in five seconds with our physical digital labels. It’s faster than a card,” says the CEO. Sticky charges £60/month for eight “flows.”

Product

Retailers say that returns abuse is the leading source of fraud, overtaking phishing for the first time. Here’s a good round up from Edgar Dunn which shows the scale of the challenge. Unsurprisingly, this trend is leading to a big increase in chargebacks so why don’t retailers dispute more of them?  One reason may be the risk of offending good customers. This New York restaurant complained when a customer used a chargeback to reclaim a deposit for a cancelled booking and the ensuing argument became very public.

The UK has a cunning plan to fight fraud. New legislation will make Faster Payments slower to give PSP’s time to investigate suspected bad transactions.

Dwayne Gefferie lays out the strategic case for PSP’s to move into orchestration or infrastructure-as-a-service. Or both. However, it’s not clear how much money is in orchestration. One analyst says the market will grow from $846m today to $4.8bn by 2032. Aite, a more reliable source, suggest the actual revenue reported by dedicated fintech orchestrators today is less than $25m. Looking on the bright side, Aite says “there’s plenty of room for providers to grow.”

Merchants are divided on whether to go with a single payment provider or use “orchestration” to manage a series of best of breed vendors. Hugo Boss is using Adyen for all its in-store and online requirements. Why not use multiple suppliers? “We are not a petrol station. We are Hugo Boss,” explains the retailer’s head of payments.

InPost, Poland’s last mile delivery specialist, has launched a payment wallet called InPostPay. It could do well as it builds on an installed base of over 9m mobile app users.

Many are sceptical about Click to Pay but the schemes’ much delayed attempt to compete with one-click wallets is finally coming to Europe. ING is offering Click to Pay with Mastercard, initially in Spain. Visa has launched Click to Pay in Francewhere Adyen is the first PSP to offer the product. It claims 4% points increase in authorisation rates compared to a standard transaction.

ISVs and their payment partners are scrambling to offer pay-at-table. Toast, the US restaurant software vendor, has launched in the UK with an impressive solution running on Adyen’s POS hardware. “Long battery life and durable,” says one IT Director.

Revolut launched its acquiring business in 2021 but we heard little news until it launched point of sale software with integrated payments. Aimed at retail and hospitality, Revolut POS is based on Nobly, the ISV it bought in 2021. The software appears to be free and transactions start from 0.8% and 2c for domestic cards. International cards are 2.6% which is pricey for any merchant in a tourist location.

Here’s a good case study from the introduction of contactless ticketing across 60,000 validators covering the whole Dutch public transportation network. The new system is saving money and travellers seem happy. EMS (Fiserv) is the acquirer. Meanwhile, Getnet has resigned the Madrid bus network including acceptance, gateway and acquiring.

There’s a small but growing category of software vendors aiming at making life easier for people who run payment businesses. Kani, founded in Newcastle, reconciles PSP transaction data with the information provided by the card schemes. Torus, started by an ex Mastercard consultant, won the innovation competition at MPE with its pricing software that gives acquirers better control over their portfolio profitability. Both are worth a look.

SoftPOS

SoftPOS is a downloadable payment application that turns any Android or iOS device into a payment terminal. The standards regime is quite complicated. Matt Jones gives a good explainer of how it all fits together.

This technology seems finally ready for prime time. Tabesto, a vendor of intelligent ordering tools for restaurants, says 90% of sales are a new product called Fox, an integrated all-in-one kiosk with no external POS or printer. Customers can choose SoftPOS payment apps from Worldline or DejaMobile. Here’s it is in action at Waffle Factory.

Deja Mobile, based in France and now owned by MarketPay, has some good case studies. Two months after launch with Rabobank in the Netherlands, 1,200 micro-merchants have activated the service of which 80% are generating transactions.

I’m not convinced PSPs can make any money out of micro merchants but if you want a mass-market customer base you will need to spend money on marketing. Best of luck to Viva, the mPOS vendor partly owned by JPMorgan, which has launched a major advertising campaign in France.

No alt text provided for this image

Softpay is another vendor in the news, announcing a partnership with Elavon, targeting SMEs in the Nordics. SoftPay is now listed on the Sunmi app store giving access to a broad range of merchants.

Rubean, the German softPOS vendor quoted on the Munich stock exchange, expects 2024 revenue of c.€2.5m, doubling year on year but below expectations. The company predicts sales rising to c.€10m by 2027 on the back of new contract wins including Commerzbank Global Payments.

BT, still the UK’s largest telco, is offering SoftPOS to its 1m SME customers with Adyen is providing the technology. The service is good value. All transaction are priced at 1.4% and there is no monthly fee. BT’s move could start a trend. Ericsson says mobile operators worldwide want to offer financial services to their customers.

Openbanking

Growing disquiet at the UK’s slow progress on open banking was highlighted by a speech made by Chris Hemsley of the Payment Systems Regulator to the Pay360 conference.

Referring to emerging rules for variable recurring payments (VRPs), widely believed to be the best hope of driving mass market adoption, the regulator says it has asked the industry to “get on with it.” Jack Wilson from TrueLayer takes issue with this and writes the industry is now “moving at the pace of the slowest” and that the slowest is the regulator itself. The industry is complaining that it is in limbo waiting for the results of a consultation on how open banking should be priced and without a clear way of making money, has little incentive to commercialise new products.

The lack of an acceptance mark or scheme brand is also major stumbling block. Looking at the checkout page below, how would consumers know they can pay with their banking app? Clue: Vyne is an open banking vendor.

Despite the current uncertainty, there is some good news. Ecospend, Trustly’s UK business says that 30% of payment volumes at Hargreaves Landsdowne, a retail investment manager, are made using open banking. 

Ecospend has been the supplier to HMRC (the UK tax authority) which has long been the poster child of UK open banking payments. With Ecospend’s initial 3 year term completed, HMRC is retendering its banking contract. The winner is likely to be one of the 15 vendors selected to join the Government’s framework contract.

In partnership news, Nexi has selected Mastercard as its open banking provider. Mastercard’s product is based on a white-label of Token’s service. Visa-owned Tink has won a contract from Deutsche Bahn for direct debit setups to power its bike sharing service and also a deal with Micropayment, a Berlin-based PSP.

A number of vendors are building an interface to allow open banking payments at POS using contactless NFC in place of cumbersome QR codes. Kevin, the Lithuanian fintech which made some high-profile layoffs before Christmas, has demonstrated A2A NFC payment on iPhone. Click through and read the comments which indicate some scepticism.

MultiPay, the UK POS focused PSP is doing something similar. Acquired.com is providing the open banking connections. Assuming the technology works, is there a business case? Alexander Peschkoff explains why A2A payments at POS don’t have commercial appeal.

More importantly, A2A payments may just be too slow for POS. A killer table from the UK Future of Payments Review shows the time it takes for a user to initiate a payment. PIX is regarded as best in class but, with Apple Pay as a comparator, even 20 seconds is too slow for POS merchant payments. Shoppers will keep using cards for a long time yet.

Artificial Intelligence

Klarna’s CEO has clarified that although the company’s AI chatbot is doing work equivalent to 700 people, this is entirely unrelated to the 700 people he layed off in 2022.

It doesn’t matter how clever your chatbot. RSR Resarch says consumers want to talk to a real person.

A bar graph with text

Description automatically generated

But the AI demos keep getting better. This ChatGPT video certainly passes the Turing Test.

Possibly, one of the most appropriate uses of AI is to count the number of mentions of AI in corporate earnings calls. Hat tip to PayPal. And to FXC for asking its robots to research this pressing question.

How often did payments companies mention AI in 2023?
AI mentions across Q1-Q4 2023 earnings calls by payments company

In other news

In a disastrous week for the UK payment industry, there were outages at Greggs, Sainsburys, McDonalds and Tesco. Although the incidents do not seem connected, the regulator is investigating. McDonalds blamed a “configuration change” but Burger King had the last word.

Rapyd’s Icelandic boss hit back at calls for a merchant boycott following the Group CEO’s strong support for Israel’s war in Gaza. “Claims such as that Rapyd works in Israeli settlements in the West Bank and that the company supports the Israeli army’s war on Gaza are completely false”, he wrote.

A fascinating piece from Matt Jones on the rise of Ali/Wechat Pay and the implications for Chinese soft power. On a similar theme, FXC looks at Asian QR code payment schemes and asks what happens when they become interoperable.

It’s been a good month for bloated corporate buildings. Fiserv has finally opened its new $37m HQ. “Welcome to Milwaukee. We have been waiting for you Fiserv,” said the mayor. PAX went bigger. Its new $46m HQ in Shenzen is 18 storeys high. 

Payments from a Merchant Perspective – useful (and free) research from Arkwright. Standardised and low-friction open banking is their number one ask.

We may think of payments as an environmentally friendly business but Edgar Dunn calculates transaction processing generate 3.3m tonnes of greenhouse gases each year. And card production releases a further 1m.

Wirecard latest. Dan McCrum, the FT journalist who broke the story, gives a good interview to Chris Skinner. Four years on, the story itself gets even stranger. It seems that Jan Marsalek, Wirecard’s fugitive COO, was working for Russian intelligence and has recently been living in Russia under the assumed identity of an Orthodox priest.

And finally

Kevin Hart, the US comedian, bought a bored ape NFT in January 2022 for $200,000. This is a particularly fine ape which sits under a rare “spinner hat.” Hart just sold the NFT for $47,000. Which still seems a lot for a jpg, even one as fine as this.

Newsletter – February 2024

A person standing at a podium

Description automatically generated

The Payment Business

February 1st will be remembered as Worldpay’s Independence Day as it separated from FIS after the catastrophic $43bn acquisition in 2019. Worldpay has been spun off into a joint-venture with GTCR, a large Chicago based private equity fund, at a valuation of $18bn. You may have noticed $25bn missing. This is a loss to FIS shareholders for which nobody has apologised. 

GTCR, which has little previous apparent interest in fintech, bought 55% of Worldpay for $13bn in cash and has committed a further $1.3bn for “strategic acquisitions.” These will likely focus on closing Worldpay’s product gap with Adyen and Stripe through extra capability related to servicing platforms/ISVs and on expanding Worldpay’s international POS capability to serve global, omnichannel retailers.  

I asked Bing’s image creator to comment on the news. Surprisingly, Worldpay haven’t yet been in touch for the image rights.

A scene from the movie Independence Day with a large sign saying "Worldpay" and an alien carrying a card payment terminal

Share

Barclays, owner of Barclaycard, the UK’s second largest acquirer, has turned to private equity to rescue its underperforming payment division after having failed to find a trade buyer. Worldline, Nexi or Global Payments aren’t interested but Barclays is reportedly still looking for £2bn at 6.5x EBITDA.

The French do things differently. One week after Worldline appointed bankers to help avoid a possible hostile takeover triggered by its collapsing share price, Credit Agricole appeared as a white knight, taking a 7% stake. Worldline and Credit Agricole recently announced a JV and the French bank has a strong interest in ensuring Worldline goes through with the deal. 

In Italy, Nexi is vying with Worldline for the merchant business of Cassa Centrale Banca, a group of 66 regional co-operative banks. CCB processes €2.2bn annual volume from 25,000 POS terminals and is looking for a valuation of €70-€100m. BCCPay, which recently scooped Nexi for a partnership with Banco BPM, and Market Pay, an aggressive new acquirer spun out of Carrefour, are also believed to be in the running.

Turning to Germany, Global Payments is forming a JV with Commerzbank. The new business, snappily called Commerz Globalpay, is 51% owned by Global Payments and will sell products to the bank’s large domestic corporate and SME customer base. While Commerzbank could be a great distribution channel, German banks are notoriously bad at lead generation. Fiserv launched a similar venture last year with Deutsche Bank which is reportedly underperforming.

There seems little prospect of many payment companies floating on public markets this year. According to one VC, many still haven’t adapted to today’s business conditions: “Where you have massive… processing volumes, but you’re still making negative margins, [this] is no longer acceptable.”

One exception maybe Klarna which looks likely to IPO in the US in the first half of this year but may have been making pre-flotation cost cuts too enthusiastically. Klarna’s new outsourced customer service operation has been leaving merchants to wait up to a month for their support requests to be reviewed. Staff say they no longer have direct access to Klarna systems and are using a “desperately slow” virtual desktop.

Stripe is also an IPO candidate for 2024 and rumoured to be preparing for floatation by raising prices and being much more discriminating about which customers it is prepared to onboard. One industry expert reports Stripe’s “out of the box API pricing” is 2x3x higher than a year ago. Higher prices and more cautious risk policies may trouble some of the fintechs and ISVs which have built their businesses on Stripe.


In case you missed these stories from from the Business of Payments blog:

Elavon Europe posts its first profit since 2019 and revealed it had €3.2bn of airline tickets sold but not delivered on its books.

Allpay, the UK public sector specialist, reported a very positive set of results. Few other payment companies can boast 21% revenue growth and 16% operating margins.

Lemonway, one of the last marketplace payment specialists still in independent hands, impressed with revenue doubling and a maiden operating profit in 2023.

A graph with blue and orange squares

Description automatically generated

Trustly, one of the European leaders in A2A payments, reported a difficult 2022 as it recovered from a tricky situation with the Swedish regulator.


January trading updates had contrasting impacts on two London-listed payment companies with roots in carrier billing and names like childrens’ TV characters. 

Boku, which is shifting its business towards global APMs competing with Thunes and dLocal, reported payment volume up 16% to $5.0bn and sales up 26% to $38m for H1 2023. Less happily, Bango, which has stayed closer to its original telco customer base, downgraded earnings expectations and lost 40% of its market capitalisation. Management says that new, value-added services are proving slow to deliver cash profits.

Checkout.com is the latest vendor to be designated a “significant provider” of card-acquiring services to SMEs in the UK and brought within scope of the Payment Systems Regulator’s directions.  Checkout is normally associated with enterprise merchants, but its good performance is thought to be thanks to a growing PF relationship with Mollie, the Dutch PSP which has begun selling to UK small businesses.

Ant Group, the giant Chinese technology group behind Alibaba and Alipay, has made a smart move into European merchant payments with the proposed acquisition of MultiSafepay. This Amsterdam-based acquirer brings a modern omni-channel technology platform (with Sunmi POS terminals) and 18,000 SME customers but the $200m price tag is expensive. MultiSafepay made a net profit of just $1.4m on sales of $50m in 2022.

New shopping

Just walk out is the new self-checkout, concluded Primark’s Chief Architect after a visit to this year’s NRF Retail Show in New York.  Although we’ve not seen much activity in the clothing sector, autonomous grocery and convenience openings are coming thick and fast.

Netto has opened what it claims to be Europe’s largest autonomous store in Regensburg, Germany. The technology is from Trigo and, at 800 sq metres with 5,000 SKUs, this is very impressive. Helpfully, fruit and vegetables are automatically weighed and added to the virtual basket when you take them off the shelves.

Trigo is also behind Aldi’s new SHOP&GO  check-out free store in Greenwich, south London. There’s no need to download an app, just tap your payment card, or phone, at the entry gates.

Image preview

You can get an idea of the potential of autonomous technology with this implementation at a UK football club which could eliminate the long queues inevitable when everyone wants to buy a drink at half-time. Sodexho, the catering company, runs the outlet. The technology is from AiFi.  

In biometric news, Carrefour’s franchise partner in Qatar is trialling a Face Pay product from PopID, a Californian vendor with 73 merchant locations live in America. It’s really not clear why this is better than Apple Pay.  Network International is processing the transactions with payment data tokenised by Visa.

Credit Agricole’s decision to launch a biometric payment card is equally unconvincing. The main advantage is not having to remember your PIN for transactions greater than €50, but this is what Apple Pay is for. Even the French bank’s supplier can see the writing on the wall. Zwipe is shuttering its biometric payment operation to focus resources on access control.

Despite every consumer carrying biometric ID in their personal phone, investors won’t give up on this. Polish fintech, Payvein, just announced fresh funding for its payment service based on Hitachi’s finger vein recognition technology.

What better way to give the thumbs down to biometrics than with AEVI’s suggestion of gesture based payments? The concept seems to involve waving at the payment device with a pre-registered hand signal. Presumably, not a rude one.

Cooking commerce may be a more fruitful concept. Kroger, the US retailer, has partnered with GE so you can buy groceries direct from the LCD screen on your oven. The new service was delivered via a software update to 150,000 domestic appliances.

Product

Apple, under pressure from the EU competition authorities, has finally opened up the iPhone’s NFC chip to 3rd party banking and wallet applications. The move may allow banks to bypass Apple Pay and its c.15bps charges. More excitingly for consumers, this service could facilitate a new market for open banking payments at POS. Mike Kelly explains how this might work. Excitement levels vary across Europe as Apple’s market share ranges from 55% in Denmark to just 10% in Poland. And the ruling excludes the UK. Because Brexit.

For years, PayPal had the best, friction-free online checkout in the business but this advantage has been eroded by Apple Pay, Stripe and others. These new checkouts also move fraud risk to the issuer which makes them more popular with merchants.

PayPal’s set of new product features should help claw back some of the lost ground, especially in Germany where it is still the number one eCommerce payment method. PayPal’s massive global base of 400m customer accounts and 25m merchants means its new one-click checkout recognises 70% of shoppers and is claimed to cut checkout time by more than half.

PayPal may soon need to worry about Shopify too after the eCommerce platform vendor began offering its Shopify Pay one-click checkout to non-Shopify merchants

The product could help merchants benefit from faster checkout where Shopify recognises the customer although the fees will likely be higher than a standard payment gateway. Amazon tried something similar with Amazon Pay although this proposition has struggled and recently announced layoffs. Unlike Shopify, merchants view Amazon as a competitor and avoided offering Amazon Pay if they could. 

Shopify is an absolute beast. Its head of engineering says he accepts 23,000 lines of code each weekday and the platform’s app servers handled 60m requests per minute on Black Friday. Blimey.

Irish customers will be delighted they can now use their Revolut card to buy a ticket on the Aer Lingus website. Revolut Pay,  a new product, transforms what looks to the cardholder like a debit card transaction into an account transfer. Aer Lingus is reporting impressive performance. Cart abandonment rates are sub 10% and authorisation rates at 98.5% which is pretty good for the airline industry. Published merchant fees for Revolut Pay start at 1% + 20c.

Back in the real world, one obstacle to the growth of the circular economy is how to pay people for products sent for recycling. The Danish city of Aarhus has a solution with this reverse vending machine for disposable coffee cups. People get their deposits back by tapping their payment card. TOMRA provides the machinery and Shift4 the payment processing in this clever use of the Visa Direct and Mastercard Send products.

Consumer returning a reusable cup at a TOMRA collection point in Aarhus Denmark

In car commerce news, KIA looks to be joining the number of automotive manufacturers launching payment products to help customers purchase upgrades, refuelling/EV charging and parking.  KIA CarPay is likely to be a sister product of Hyundai Pay, already launched in the US.

Computop, the German PSP part owned by Nexi, launched its “Pay to Drive”proposition for EV charging stations using the PAX IM 30 unattended terminals. Computop already has a good customer base in this sector including Compleo and Mercedes Pay for in-car payments.

In scheme news, Carte Bancaire has finally launched an account updater service with the unfortunate Franglais brand of Updat’R. Adyen, MONEXT and Lyra are the first PSP’s to offer the new product. 

FX loading can often be a guilty secret in the payment industry. Many vendors depend on marking-up foreign currency transactions for a considerable proportion of their profits and can be vulnerable if their larger customers start to scrutinise their bills too closely. New research from FXC shows how the US providers charge extra fees to their international merchants.

In rare good news for ACI’s merchant business Co-op, a UK grocer with over 2,400 stores, has moved its payment processing into the US vendor’s cloud in what it describes as a “very challenging and complex project.

Cash

Public policy is turning to how cash can be saved from extinction. The Swedish government has demanded proposals to safeguard access to cash despite the public’s clear preference for electronic money. Only 8% of Swedes used cash for their most recent purchase.

As usage declines, cash becomes more and more expensive to provide. In Warsaw, the city government is moving to digital payments for parking, saying costs are just 5% of collecting cash from parking meters.

As people need less cash, the fixed costs of running ATM networks are spread over fewer transactions and many locations become uneconomic. In France, three big banks are pooling their ATMs and plan to reduce their number by 30%. 

Ireland will be legislating to stem the decline in ATMs following a 30% reduction in cash withdrawals since before the pandemic. Grocery shops and pharmacies will also be obliged to accept cash payments despite the cost burden this will impose on these businesses.

Financial inclusion is normally the reason cited for mandating cash acceptance but this argument ignores the huge benefits of bringing people into digital money. As this new report from the Atlanta Fed explains, people excluded from digital money are also excluded from much of the rest of the economy too. For a plain English description of financial exclusion, read this description of the business of cheque cashing in the US. A cash economy rips off the poor.

Germany is an exception, of course. Where else would Arnold Schwarzenegger be frogmarched to a bank to withdraw €35,000 in cash to cover customs charges on his Audemars Piguet watch?

The Terminator actor, 76, was seen holding a box in a customs office at Munich airport, in a picture obtained by BILD

SoftPOS

It’s still early days in the emerging SoftPOS market but Rubean looks like one of the European winners, having locked down a number of solid distribution partnerships and two enterprise customers in Spain. Read more on the Business of Payments blog

Softpay.io, based in Denmark, is another independent vendor making solid progress, including a potentially lucrative partnership with Nexi. Softpay has put its solution live at the Gebr Heniemann store in Copenhagen AirportSnabble, a German start-up specialising in mobile ePOS, is providing the software application.

There is €8bn of payment volume on meal vouchers in France so it’s a smart move by Viva (JP Morgan’s European JV) to add Titre-Restaurant to its SoftPOS product.

MagicCube, based in California and one of the first wave of SoftPOS vendors has announced a go-to-market partnership with Shift4. The move comes two years after Shift4 invested in MagicCube and is likely to see the product come to Europe following the American acquirer’s merger with Finaro.

Finally, Worldine’s SoftPOS will come pre-installed on range of Hammer ruggedised smartwatches, tablets, laptops and smartphones supplied by Poland’s mpTech. Customers will still need to open a merchant account with Worldline but the move does open an interesting distribution channel with blue collar trades.

Open banking                                       

Bain, the consulting company, says that 2029 will be the year card transactions finally stop growing. But Dave Birch thinks we might be even closer to “peak card” than this, especially if large merchants integrate variable recurring payments (VRPs) into their apps. VRPs are the open banking substitute for both direct debits and card on file and promise a better customer experience for consumers at lower cost to merchants.

For the moment, open banking reality is some distance from this promise. A new study shows French banks rejecting 47% of payment transactions using their open banking APIs. “Is this the worst in Europe?” “ask the authors. “Far from it” reply the PSP’s. Portuguese banks are certainly worse. With standard bank API’s so difficult to use in many European markets, it’s no surprise that local schemes linked to SEPA Instant Payments such as iDEAL in Holland or Blik in Poland are prospering.

If the banks are to meet the challenge of producing better quality API’s they clearly need some help. Ozone API in London has raised £8.5m to commercialise its service that enables banks to offer open banking APIs.

The UK was first into open banking but, six years after the adoption of PSD2, the sector is having a long, dark night of the soul. As this good round-up demonstrates, there have been plenty of awards for open banking innovation but nobody is generating many transactions.

Ciaran O’Malley from Trustly posted a killer chart on LinkedIn which shows the extent of the commercial challenge for VRPs. In a two-sided market, there are few win-win scenarios.

Commercial Variable Recurring Payments

This is why the Payment Systems Regulator (PSR) is proposing that the country’s largest banks will be mandated to offer VRPs at zero Interchange for government, utility and regulated financial services. 

But at the last count, there were a remarkable 556 third party processors listed in the EU and UK together. This is certainly too many and it’s certainly time for a vendor shake-out

Crypto corner

One of the many reasons Bitcoin has not replaced fiat money is that cryptocurrencies are horribly insecure, often run by crooks and with a terrible customer experience. As Dave Birch put it, “no sane person wants to be their own bank.” 

Even though 2023 was a quiet one in crypto land, criminals still made off with $1.8bn worth of digital assets from unsuspecting punters, exceeded only by the $5.8bn of fines paid by crypto and fintech groups for lax anti-money laundering checks. Advances in quantum computing could quickly makes things worse as criminals learn to break encryption even faster. Caveat emptor.

The early hype around crypto set in train projects to launch central bank digital currencies (CBDCs). The Bank of England (BoE) received over 50,000 responses to its public consultation on the digital pound. Many of the concerns expressed were around privacy. The Bank promises that it won’t be able to see your individual transactions, but this won’t placate the zealots.

Any decision to launch Britcoin will be taken “around the middle of the decade” at the earliest but the BoE hasn’t answered the fundamental question of what a Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) is for. Neither does this video from the European Central Bank (ECB) shed much light on why anyone would want a digital euro rather than using Apple Pay.

The European Central Bank has begun tendering for some of the components of the digital euro. Worldline, Nexi and the EPI were involved in earlier prototyping exercises and will likely be bidding for the next set of contracts, valued at up to €1.1bn.

Research round-up

Cap Gemini’s payment trends for 2024 places real-time treasury and tokenisation in the top right quadrant. The consultants also see the card market growing in volume but losing share to A2A payments.

A summary up of 2024’s payment topics from the Finanz-Szene blog including wero, real-time bank transfers in Germany (at last) and the implication of TA 7.2 standards for payment terminals. A huge number of devices need replacing in Germany, notably the Verifone H5000s.

An Airwallex survey of SMBs highlights the embedded finance opportunities for payment providers. One interesting finding is that there is very little brand loyalty. 82% of merchants say they would change payment provider if their ISV offered a similar solution.

Chargeback 911’s annual Cardholder Dispute Index is always worth a read, if only to gasp at the average 5.7 disputes raised by each consumer every year in the USA.

35% of global eCommerce sales now go through marketplaces according to an absolute goldmine of omni-channel retail research available free of charge from RetailX. Retail CIOs themselves are planning major system upgrades to meet the needs of channel hopping consumers. This will likely trigger reassessments of their payment suppliers and is yet more bad news for incumbents saddled with legacy platforms.

In other news

UK retailers spent a whopping £1.27bn on card processing fees in 2023 and the British Retail Consortium is particularly annoyed about the 27% rise in scheme fees. The trade body is proposing that larger transactions should be charged as a fixed fee, not ad valorem; an idea likely to meet fierce resistance from the schemes.

Wirecard update – the stooge director of Wirecard’s (allegedly fake) Singapore operation claims he was paid $11,000 a month for signing documents he didn’t read. Nice work.

Your staff no longer need to waste time producing poor quality PowerPoint decks. The robots can make bad presentations too. Watch this demo where Microsoft Co-pilot creates a dull but entirely adequate deck in just 47 seconds

One key application of AI is to automate customer service but you need to keep an eye on your robots otherwise they may start thinking for themselves.  One AI chatbot working for DPD, a UK parcel delivery company with a mixed reputation, wrote a poem about how bad its employer was.

Where to find me

I’ll be moderating panel discussions at MPE in Berlin on 12-14 March and ePay Europe in London on 21 May. In between, you can catch me at Retail Expo in London on 24/25 April.

Alternatively, If you liked this newsletter, you can hear me guesting on Worldline’s Navigating Digital Payments podcast. .

Get in touch

Geoffrey Barraclough

geoff@barracloughandco.com

www.businessofpayments.com